TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Kingston: Dan Martin vs Lautaro Midon

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lautaro Midonof Dan Martin, Lautaro Midon
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,858
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,851

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,858 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Dan Martin25c13,992$3,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,533.948,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Lautaro Midon73c7,837$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,136.9548555.9%271 W · 214 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ab…a2d1backed Lautaro Midon78c3,846$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.158356.6%47 W · 36 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe004…d87cbacked Lautaro Midon73c3,555$2,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.0715060%90 W · 60 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dan Martin15c3,407$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.898,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eb6…8b20backed Dan Martin9c3,212$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.256710.4%7 W · 60 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Lautaro Midon72c2,778$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.1119167%128 W · 63 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Dan Martin15c2,669$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40048231.1%150 W · 332 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd898…20e7backed Dan Martin28c2,540$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.314447.7%21 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f98…0aa1backed Lautaro Midon70c2,284$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.0710757.9%62 W · 45 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Dan Martin21c2,257$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.084,64749.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L+159.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Dan Martin19c1,831$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.051,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Lautaro Midon76c1,600$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.752,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Lautaro Midon72c1,401$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.2260042%252 W · 348 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x421e…1e47backed Dan Martin25c1,242$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3105343.4%23 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Dan Martin26c1,200$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3129,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Lautaro Midon78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2205846.6%27 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71bf…f6edbacked Lautaro Midon79c886.08$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.085459.3%32 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Dan Martin18c881.78$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.21,76446.8%826 W · 938 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Dan Martin18c854.18$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1579232.6%30 W · 62 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Lautaro Midon73c745.51$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.031,54551.5%795 W · 750 L+5.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Dan Martin16c704$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9464753.9%349 W · 298 L+32.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Dan Martin20c582.55$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.112,69647.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L+46.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Lautaro Midon71c574.02$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.821,95843.7%856 W · 1,102 L-21.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Dan Martin22c558.41$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.439324.7%23 W · 70 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Dan Martin30c533.33$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16044950.8%228 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Dan Martin11c493.55$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2944527.2%121 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7e0…8573backed Dan Martin23c463.15$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.827058.6%41 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Dan Martin21c452.78$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.261,12827.9%315 W · 813 L+1.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Dan Martin23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a49…737abacked Lautaro Midon71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5420163.2%127 W · 74 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Dan Martin23c383.4$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.086,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1b9…c40bbacked Lautaro Midon78c375$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d26…f4f8backed Dan Martin9c353.77$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318616.3%14 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+37.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d32…25a8backed Lautaro Midon76c351.2$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.078267.1%55 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c38…1bfabacked Lautaro Midon72c318.6$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.64346.5%20 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Dan Martin21c318.04$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.11,37144.5%610 W · 761 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Lautaro Midon67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5188935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb04…bc3dbacked Lautaro Midon70c295.57$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.591154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Dan Martin17c291.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505,19928.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L-18.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b2…9c8dbacked Dan Martin25c277.23$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.49228.3%26 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Dan Martin20c261.54$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2942130.2%127 W · 294 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Dan Martin10c233.08$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.691,62454.4%883 W · 741 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Dan Martin23c212.16$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.263650.3%320 W · 316 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Dan Martin18c207$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2632841.8%137 W · 191 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Dan Martin28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5659738.2%228 W · 369 L-27.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Lautaro Midon77c195.99$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0895455.5%529 W · 425 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Dan Martin25c181.2$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.33,20440.5%1,299 W · 1,905 L+28.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Dan Martin25c181.2$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.33,41239.1%1,335 W · 2,077 L-11.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5056…fbb3backed Dan Martin22c179.55$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.56838.2%26 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Dan Martin17c170.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.072,23852.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L+80.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Dan Martin20c164.62$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.524,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Dan Martin19c163$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6153043%228 W · 302 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Dan Martin25c146.48$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.622,14237.3%799 W · 1,343 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8788…d82abacked Lautaro Midon78c141.21$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.072352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0fd…3798backed Dan Martin18c132.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.779421.3%20 W · 74 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe660…514fbacked Dan Martin26c130.77$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3410034%34 W · 66 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Lautaro Midon75c129.72$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.481,17852.4%617 W · 561 L+27.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Lautaro Midon77c129.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.621,65744.2%733 W · 924 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc02…ce2abacked Lautaro Midon78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2120772%149 W · 58 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick73cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Lautaro Midon80c126.8$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.361,69248.8%826 W · 866 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59ed…12a3backed Dan Martin28c125$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe780…055bbacked Dan Martin17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204825%12 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Dan Martin16c113.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.11,25238.8%486 W · 766 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b3…c2d7backed Lautaro Midon76c105.26$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.261952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Dan Martin20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,89548.1%911 W · 984 L+15.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Dan Martin21c97.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6148947.4%232 W · 257 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Dan Martin28c96.43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2758931.1%183 W · 406 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cdd…db30backed Dan Martin32c90.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2918325.1%46 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2ca…1e71backed Lautaro Midon78c89.96$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.791338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-32.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x81f9…d394backed Dan Martin16c85.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.812340.7%50 W · 73 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9bb5…6befbacked Dan Martin24c83.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7f…d002backed Lautaro Midon78c76.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.922147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeec…2f66backed Lautaro Midon72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4420361.6%125 W · 78 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed Dan Martin24c68.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.719030%27 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b0f…ab39backed Dan Martin30c65.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.533369.7%23 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Lautaro Midon77c62$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.261,41855%780 W · 638 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Lautaro Midon80c61.87$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.371,01657.7%586 W · 430 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Lautaro Midon78c60$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.487634.5%302 W · 574 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Dan Martin26c59.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.543,62145.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L-3.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed Dan Martin28c59.32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6415141.7%63 W · 88 L-12.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Dan Martin20c52.52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.272,00453.2%1,067 W · 937 L+52.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13b2…5486backed Lautaro Midon77c51.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.968777%67 W · 20 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed Lautaro Midon75c50.67$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.678257.3%47 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d6…2dfdbacked Dan Martin28c50.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.174535.6%16 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Dan Martin24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123,80945.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L-35.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Dan Martin22c49.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7339747.9%190 W · 207 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Dan Martin22c47.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.535,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Dan Martin24c44.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7195050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Lautaro Midon78c43.75$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6221959.8%131 W · 88 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4285…c6b9backed Lautaro Midon70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.867357.5%42 W · 31 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x301f…e84cbacked Lautaro Midon71c42.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3729968.9%206 W · 93 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Dan Martin28c42.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.861,01336.5%370 W · 643 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14de…489cbacked Lautaro Midon71c42.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2416870.8%119 W · 49 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…331cbacked Lautaro Midon76c41.03$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8533164%212 W · 119 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4bb…22a9backed Lautaro Midon78c40.96$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.015549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Dan Martin25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1032536.9%120 W · 205 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Lautaro Midon75c38.58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.563,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Lautaro Midon75c34.92$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.930055%165 W · 135 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Lautaro Midon78c32.91$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2419540.5%79 W · 116 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.