TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7b0f…ab39

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Weather at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT3369.7%23 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)backed Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Kingston: Dan Martin vs Lautaro Midonbacked Dan Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.53
Cincinnati Open: Magdalena Frech vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Cincinnati Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.11
Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Cagliari: Matteo Berrettini vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$11
Set Handicap: Paul (-1.5) vs Burruchaga (+1.5)backed Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.17
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Tommy Paulbacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.56
San Luis Potosi: Nicolas Mejia vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$66.37
Bucharest Open: Alex Molcan vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$134.62
Menorca: Jonas Forejtek vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.44
Copa Colsanitas: Varvara Lepchenko vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Varvara Lepchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+32%+$12.45
Barletta: Francesco Forti vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$5.22
Credit One Charleston Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Renata Zarazuabacked Renata Zarazua · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$15.24
San Luis Potosi: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Mateus Cardoso Alvesbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.89
Grand Prix Hassan II: Timofey Skatov vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$9.28
Set Handicap: Hanfmann (-1.5) vs Jong (+1.5)backed Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.87
Grand Prix Hassan II: Karim Bennani vs Quentin Halysbacked Karim Bennani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$13.06
Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.95
Sao Paulo: Emilio Nava vs Jaime Fariabacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.18
Tomas Barrios vs. Hugo Dellien: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Split: Maxim Mrva vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+89.7%+$14.75
Morelia: Quinn Vandecasteele vs Borna Gojobacked Quinn Vandecasteele · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Elena Rybakina vs. Jessica Pegula: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$14.14
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Marta Kostyukbacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.22
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.62
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.01
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.7
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$20.1
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.65
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+36%+$4.32
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.91
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$13.23
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+64%+$69.41
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+89.1%+$144.29
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$112
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$249
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$67
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$73
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+181%+$112.22
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+40.5%+$5.36
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-52.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$7.14
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.48
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$43.07
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.84
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$10.98
All 9 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Granada vs. Unicajabacked Unicaja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.53
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Panathinaikosbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$90.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Ducksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.