TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuggetsof Nuggets, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,500

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,500 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf28e…cab2backed Trail Blazers56c11,710$6,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,557.4956646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ec1…057cbacked Trail Blazers55c9,121$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Trail Blazers54c7,270$3,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,925.81,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x303c…1bacbacked Nuggets46c6,087$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,286.963100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+85.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41fb…5b7bbacked Nuggets46c5,337$2,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,881.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Trail Blazers54c5,276$2,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,847.781,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Nuggets48c5,208$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,708.339547.4%45 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Nuggets46c4,830$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,608.242648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…96c3backed Nuggets46c4,348$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.832100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers52c4,034$2,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,090.014,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Trail Blazers29c3,384$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.562,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0e4…84d3backed Nuggets44c3,182$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,781.82922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-53%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0936…6c02backed Nuggets45c3,111$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711.115341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x844e…4efdbacked Trail Blazers31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9305352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+33.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Nuggets46c2,250$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,21510651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7726…4627backed Nuggets46c2,168$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.21838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets64c1,643$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.023,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Nuggets46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8101,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Trail Blazers54c1,351$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.453,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers55c1,310$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.749,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Nuggets73c981.7$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.0126337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed Nuggets45c934.33$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.889352.7%49 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Nuggets48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41612540%50 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2cb5…6e63backed Nuggets60c551.71$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.954658.7%27 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets44c289$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.844,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Trail Blazers49c285.71$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14028838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Trail Blazers57c263.68$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15026131%81 W · 180 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Nuggets45c250$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Trail Blazers56c241$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9614145.4%64 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Trail Blazers55c216.99$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3413148.9%64 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Trail Blazers54c212.96$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11511157.7%64 W · 47 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Nuggets44c212.77$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.151,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Nuggets47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10630544.6%136 W · 169 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Trail Blazers53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008763.2%55 W · 32 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Nuggets50c180.52$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.5229040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Trail Blazers56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Trail Blazers18c151$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.161,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nuggets47c140.6$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.363,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0ec…f7dabacked Trail Blazers59c139.02$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.024334.9%15 W · 28 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Nuggets46c137.56$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.921,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b41…a6f3backed Trail Blazers24c129.17$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3130%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb920…0ee7backed Nuggets79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.583458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Nuggets44c125.73$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1278648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb81f…2fd6backed Trail Blazers56c122$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.324443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Nuggets46c117.57$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0542153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Trail Blazers53c110$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.354951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Nuggets48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1765349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b0f…ab39backed Trail Blazers58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Trail Blazers55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Trail Blazers13c97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3614858.1%86 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Trail Blazers43c90.66$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.915,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Trail Blazers57c67.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0710042%42 W · 58 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ba…67e9backed Trail Blazers55c65.45$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362751.9%14 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets45c63.13$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.534,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Nuggets45c60.6$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Trail Blazers49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523546.8%110 W · 125 L-18.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc03a…d7c4backed Trail Blazers56c50.51$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.296342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Trail Blazers58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Nuggets45c49.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4937549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Nuggets44c47.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.533,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x98cf…b8eabacked Trail Blazers55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Nuggets67c45.03$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0490357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Trail Blazers39c42.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.373,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94bb…6807backed Trail Blazers56c42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.524452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e4a…1a5cbacked Trail Blazers56c37.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216040%24 W · 36 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b7f…a8e5backed Nuggets48c37.35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4211732.5%38 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5dc…0f05backed Trail Blazers56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ffa…4734backed Trail Blazers57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-44.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08d1…28adbacked Trail Blazers53c32.17$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0510947.7%52 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Trail Blazers53c32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9620040%80 W · 120 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Nuggets46c31.36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9327251.1%139 W · 133 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Trail Blazers55c29.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2815650.6%79 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Nuggets44c29.07$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.241,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Nuggets45c23.26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7995047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Trail Blazers56c19.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.851,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Trail Blazers54c18.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.151,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Trail Blazers56c18.18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.181,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.