TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,862

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,862 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over53c25,000$13,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,373.7277348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over46c17,192$7,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,830.744,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over44c10,000$4,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,364.291,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under51c6,855$3,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,337.911,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Over48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x269c…9017backed Under46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.998953.9%48 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c4,451$2,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,108.734,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over51c4,242$2,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,172.643,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Under47c4,199$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,225.5417144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Under50c3,251$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,625.5217250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under52c2,799$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.561,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under56c2,553$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.363,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5980…705cbacked Under51c2,515$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.352100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x575f…50b1backed Under51c2,499$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.512100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c2d…a901backed Over49c2,455$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202.9520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa463…4b35backed Under51c2,416$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under23c2,343$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.272,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e3a…f2bbbacked Under51c2,330$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under46c2,300$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24095651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x59b1…7321backed Over49c2,289$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd441…45ddbacked Over49c2,239$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.1120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5750…8573backed Under51c2,211$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.39250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Under46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.9112147.1%57 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc2…b8f7backed Over49c2,158$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x082b…120fbacked Over49c2,131$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.1920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf081…126cbacked Under51c2,076$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd097…2306backed Over49c2,070$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48d0…2799backed Under51c2,058$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c0…b10fbacked Under51c2,019$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.31250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08be…4b85backed Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8804,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…a556backed Under51c1,973$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Under48c1,950$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.249952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x330d…1b2cbacked Under51c1,942$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c1,935$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.149,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96e9…cd20backed Under51c1,922$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under51c1,891$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.821,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…c1e5backed Over49c1,884$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09c3…6b5fbacked Over49c1,855$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.9520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0457…308dbacked Over49c1,852$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x336c…9421backed Under51c1,848$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x388f…66b6backed Under51c1,827$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.232100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3744…b60bbacked Over49c1,701$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.49250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70e6…940ebacked Over49c1,645$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceb1…33bbbacked Over49c1,639$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.11250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30de…8227backed Over49c1,609$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.4120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fc6…e215backed Under51c1,595$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa94b…8290backed Over49c1,565$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x654e…d292backed Over49c1,542$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.5820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb73b…c1a2backed Over49c1,510$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc1d…faffbacked Under46c1,507$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.783151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7cf…abfdbacked Over49c1,506$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.9420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8d2…6c04backed Under51c1,452$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under17c1,418$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.527937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Under52c1,324$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.5916953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Under57c1,278$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.384654.3%25 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf746…5127backed Under51c1,211$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.392100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7a3…6e5dbacked Over49c1,095$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.5520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f46…b62fbacked Under51c999$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed Over44c943.11$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.979352.7%49 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under50c937.87$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.7570246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb79d…03cfbacked Under51c884$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Under53c883.21$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.2114455.6%80 W · 64 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Under53c873.58$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.5819359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under46c652.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.171,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c631.55$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.792,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd93…d05fbacked Under51c580$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe011…13aebacked Under51c492$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under46c478.26$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.2687453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over44c472.67$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.8589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under46c468$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.261,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under49c443.52$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.9210748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under18c438.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.4824044.6%107 W · 133 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.679245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1761,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over52c396.97$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.422,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over44c392.06$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.5158450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018147%85 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under47c368$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.0440146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under46c335$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.954246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Over48c320$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.621743.8%95 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Over49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509139.6%36 W · 55 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1352,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under54c295.02$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.23,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over51c274.86$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.392,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over45c260.98$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.0434851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3952146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3943447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed Under46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.393545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Under46c206$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2410940.4%44 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…9a2bbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5438…234bbacked Over55c203.65$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.011145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2222…0849backed Over49c203$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4507…dc26backed Under46c201.14$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.621266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Over55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11015446.1%71 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8208…2c44backed Under51c188$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47bc…5bf1backed Over55c187.85$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.321040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de5…724bbacked Under46c181$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.742100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20bc…3533backed Under46c180.91$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.69757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Over54c179.47$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4233748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.