NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 242.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef9b7e38561d4642535b0f621ec7c3ff64c51bd9bc061fd4a5fede35c4af8d01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,369 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.98 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…5efebacked Under | 50c | 4,587$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad62…8269backed Under | 50c | 4,415$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b95…1202backed Under | 50c | 2,849$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38b…a855backed Under | 50c | 2,828$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Under | 52c | 2,404$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.85 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf361…c251backed Over | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d38…0b73backed Under | 56c | 2,302$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Under | 63c | 2,265$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.19 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc69…aa49backed Over | 44c | 2,125$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fb…a8c4backed Under | 56c | 2,022$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…fa94backed Over | 50c | 2,022$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e8…2611backed Over | 50c | 2,015$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaff…b93ebacked Over | 50c | 2,011$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…ff50backed Under | 56c | 1,956$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e26…79c8backed Over | 44c | 1,855$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…c509backed Over | 44c | 1,826$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x556a…1d86backed Under | 56c | 1,802$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 51c | 1,688$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.24 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d77…5c9ebacked Over | 50c | 1,663$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6f…47f4backed Over | 44c | 1,633$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…2f84backed Over | 50c | 1,633$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 46c | 1,544$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.38 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…7b55backed Over | 44c | 1,502$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe390…4eb8backed Over | 50c | 1,499$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4da8…7de9backed Over | 50c | 1,455$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Over | 45c | 1,275$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.62 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3aa…b798backed Under | 56c | 1,102$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 53c | 1,041$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.26 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 45c | 923.58$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.61 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Under | 55c | 910$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.5 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…af95backed Over | 2c | 833.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 51c | 803.92$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.92 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 41c | 757.7$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.35 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 722.21$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.1 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 80c | 702.61$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.64 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 35c | 676.16$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.89 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2c…bb26backed Over | 46c | 674.07$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.07 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e46…1f65backed Over | 47c | 570$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 12c | 525.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.71 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Under | 60c | 498.72$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.72 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 39c | 477.75$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.81 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 40c | 461.41$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.55 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 38c | 361.58$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.4 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 41c | 342.35$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aed…b1dabacked Under | 54c | 330$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under | 54c | 312.4$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.37 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…be83backed Under | 56c | 294.13$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 15c | 265.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.29 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40dd…2364backed Under | 54c | 240$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 56c | 223.36$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…e3b4backed Under | 59c | 220.34$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.34 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 23c | 217.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.61 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43bb…b34ebacked Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0867…c3f4backed Under | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Under | 64c | 196.43$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…df30backed Under | 60c | 166.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x451f…7301backed Under | 61c | 166.9$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.09 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c1…f24abacked Over | 49c | 143$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 42c | 128.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 50c | 102.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8500…1b76backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Under | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 232 | 46.1%107 W · 125 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 31c | 99.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…8678backed Under | 46c | 82.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45f1…0075backed Under | 65c | 77.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x729c…2b1ebacked Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 51c | 67.45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 49c | 67.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Over | 66c | 62.84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9f…5734backed Under | 48c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 270 | 50%135 W · 135 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc2…5a26backed Under | 51c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…cc8fbacked Under | 51c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed Under | 51c | 49.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2d…cd74backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…0f05backed Over | 42c | 47.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 45c | 46.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2e…2101backed Under | 55c | 46.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…0a86backed Over | 44c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 54c | 42.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…86d1backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Under | 43c | 39.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…fa89backed Under | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1165…1e87backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…6031backed Over | 51c | 37.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…2723backed Under | 58c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 47c | 35.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Under | 52c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…3970backed Under | 63c | 30.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 58c | 27.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 240 | 44.6%107 W · 133 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Under | 53c | 26.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 50c | 24.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdf12…cbd9backed Under | 61c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 242.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Nuggets won
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
- Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jerami Grant: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Jerami Grant: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)Nuggets won
- Trail Blazers vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 253.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 255.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 256.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 257.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 258.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.