TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb358…2723

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 54 out of 100; worst Australian A League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT3246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$16.74
Nick Richards: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Nick Richards: Points O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.75
Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+136%+$16.71
Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Tobias Harris: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.15
DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.08
Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.08
Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+144.8%+$66.6
Joel Embiid: Points O/U 21.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$227.96
Spread: Hornets (-17.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+94.4%+$15.29
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.05
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.2
Raptors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.75
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.26
Spread: Kings (-5.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+109.9%+$15.11
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.1
Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$15.54
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$20.54
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.05
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+50.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.02
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$78.27
Wichita State Shockers vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28.73
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$15.74
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.16
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.64
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.21
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.26
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-13.5)backed California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+196.6%+$21.04
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-8.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+128.8%+$19.68
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28.98
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
Miami Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.84
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.53
Devils vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+400%+$111.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Como 1907 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$14.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)backed Racing Club de Lens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$17.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: TYLOO vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$5.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.