TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$448,196

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $448,196 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 405 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Under53c109,853$58,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,361.416040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Under52c54,145$28,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,154.117753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over47c45,912$21,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,495.946,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Under53c43,819$23,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,024.121533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over48c18,426$8,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,660.824,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over41c12,508$5,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,329.2513852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed Over46c11,000$5,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,940771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+52.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under52c11,000$5,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,719.9113444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over47c10,998$5,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,844.7430143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef7d…a3f0backed Over48c7,417$3,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,856.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over48c7,000$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6409272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Over48c6,250$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,25012532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over47c5,808$2,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,096.761662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c5,593$2,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,918.831,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over36c5,520$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,510.295527.3%15 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xada5…c2a4backed Over49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,550580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over47c4,500$2,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,366.522,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8d…d730backed Over65c4,284$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.59742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.9918362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under51c3,998$2,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,054.0850644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over42c3,952$1,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,308.122,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Over54c3,798$2,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.063630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over48c3,576$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.527361.6%45 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Over30c3,489$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,456.499660.4%58 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over50c3,434$1,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,716.765455.6%30 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over47c3,090$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,641.2315534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Over48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56020646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56083459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed Over48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5601675%12 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+38.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Over48c2,550$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3269254.3%50 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c2,434$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.7617557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c2,231$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.551750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef85…43e6backed Over49c2,212$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.241154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+40.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Over49c2,087$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.155560%33 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under48c2,061$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.862347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under52c1,939$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.2452454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Over48c1,833$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.331833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over48c1,751$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.3939948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over48c1,565$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.5815757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over47c1,500$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8003938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed Over50c1,323$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.38728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f04…6a54backed Over34c1,296$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.41650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over47c1,267$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.5112448.4%60 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over36c1,138$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.35650%28 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b7c…3c87backed Over47c1,063$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.581464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+62.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5207268.1%49 W · 23 L+13.8wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+42%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52036956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over60c1,000$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.2596443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over24c1,000$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76017048.8%83 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over47c999.99$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5302832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.6wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-42.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over47c949.39$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.0239052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over48c878.13$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.637844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over46c799.98$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.999150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f5a…2a37backed Over47c760.28$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over42c759.55$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.5416232.1%52 W · 110 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+19.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over47c757.45$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.4535028.9%101 W · 249 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over47c744.68$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.6818123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over63c734.32$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.77245.8%33 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c729$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.0821056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Over41c726.3$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.954057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over42c710.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.7822242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over49c700$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35723258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over36c687.5$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4408236.6%30 W · 52 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over47c680.86$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.8517053.5%91 W · 79 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.320054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Under35c605.29$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.851861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x79fb…c230backed Under10c600$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60130%0 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over45c541.5$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.8340953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over47c531.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.9126344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1b0…1846backed Over48c520.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.834271.4%30 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick72cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Over50c502$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2513141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a25…3c70backed Under56c500.54$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.81952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26065557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Under52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2604360.5%26 W · 17 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26019826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26060557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7b8…e32bbacked Under10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501010%1 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick8cpaid+150%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over46c499.97$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.9930645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over47c471.38$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.9749753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over47c425.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.62948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.533727%10 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over48c425$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2216540%26 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Over46c417$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.181947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Over48c413.65$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.13171%22 W · 9 L+7.7wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+53.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21235056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Over46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2161656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x582f…c0f6backed Over47c385.67$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.672944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+48.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over48c381.5$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.381,20842.2%510 W · 698 L-27.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x417e…85e4backed Under9c378.67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.08110%0 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over46c376.86$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.513063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over48c360$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.219357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3541…78debacked Over65c355.37$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.061190.9%10 W · 1 L+4.4wins+0.40per pick51cpaid+81.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over47c350$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.537557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over48c350$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18235157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over48c349.69$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.4443241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.835742.1%24 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.