Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd994ec316b72be333bff02fc63859a223b20ac4539f65769ee46822dc7fe38ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nottingham Forest FCof Tottenham Hotspur FC, Nottingham Forest FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,185 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc699…7961backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 19c | 5,356$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc708…95fdbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 22c | 4,576$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 19c | 2,590$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.26 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 19c | 2,256$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.1 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Nottingham Forest FC | 77c | 1,717$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.47 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 20c | 1,707$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.43 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 19c | 892.19$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.83 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 18c | 833.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc791…3589backed Nottingham Forest FC | 79c | 736.09$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb2…b9b6backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 21c | 736.09$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 21c | 476.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 17c | 389.37$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.41 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 19c | 353.68$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 18c | 333.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a21…24d7backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 22c | 281.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Nottingham Forest FC | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b3…8807backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 20c | 165$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nottingham Forest FC | 79c | 161.36$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 18c | 141.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 18c | 140$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe596…88cabacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49f…accabacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 20c | 118$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…8d6ebacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 18c | 117$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 14c | 116.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db6…4f15backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 20c | 114$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323a…5797backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 18c | 112$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 19c | 109.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6486…687abacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 18c | 103$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Nottingham Forest FC | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 20c | 86.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be4…8929backed Nottingham Forest FC | 80c | 57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac8…b5afbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…0679backed Nottingham Forest FC | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Nottingham Forest FC | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe057…8061backed Nottingham Forest FC | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.