Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x088459b6020bb26ce1eb7e0b1ea3720faa335208769f8469486fc736cf550d78

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $90,239

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,239 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over	18c	13,534$2,413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,413.34	4,696	41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	77c	8,887$6,872 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,015.27	6,047	45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L	-21.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over	22c	6,750$1,452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,451.78	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over	26c	5,109$1,328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,328.34	301	43.9%132 W · 169 L	-16.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Under	73c	4,129$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,129.29	60	66.7%40 W · 20 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over	26c	2,893$752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$751.95	155	34.2%53 W · 102 L	-9.7wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	9c	1,914$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.83	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	74c	1,262$934 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$328.02	517	50.1%259 W · 258 L	+19.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Over	10c	1,001$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.09	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over	25c	911.08$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.65	162	32.1%52 W · 110 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over	8c	625$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over	27c	556.28$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	181	23.2%42 W · 139 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	306	45.8%140 W · 166 L	-11.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	26c	500$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	1,074	45%483 W · 591 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	25c	412.62$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.01	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Over	25c	400$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	47	31.9%15 W · 32 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	74c	395.62$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.86	524	54.2%284 W · 240 L	+14.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over	28c	375$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	964	43.7%421 W · 543 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over	24c	333.33$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	192	44.3%85 W · 107 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over	27c	251$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.52	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over	28c	249.99$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	1,208	42.2%510 W · 698 L	-27.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over	24c	208.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	99	46.5%46 W · 53 L	+8.0wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over	26c	200$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	192	35.9%69 W · 123 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over	26c	192.31$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	351	34.8%122 W · 229 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	27c	180.07$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.29	611	43.7%267 W · 344 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	74c	150$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	722	49.9%360 W · 362 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf535…e984backed Under	73c	143.97$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.87	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	74c	135.14$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.14	323	45.2%146 W · 177 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x464c…4632backed Over	22c	117.86$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c6c…0319backed Over	14c	107.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+2.5wins	+0.11per pick	37cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Under	74c	105.71$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.48	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+3.2wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Under	79c	100$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	70	62.9%44 W · 26 L	-4.6wins	-0.07per pick	69cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over	12c	98.85$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.86	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	25c	86.3$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.58	758	50%379 W · 379 L	+20.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x862a…d26bbacked Under	76c	78.7$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.89	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+1.7wins	+0.16per pick	57cpaid	+41.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over	25c	75.66$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	223	35.4%79 W · 144 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	27c	74.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	407	42%171 W · 236 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over	27c	73.8$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.93	365	54.5%199 W · 166 L	+13.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08d1…28adbacked Over	26c	72.61$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.88	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over	26c	71.31$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.54	62	58.1%36 W · 26 L	+4.7wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over	27c	63.81$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.23	1,007	51.5%519 W · 488 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfab5…690dbacked Over	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	41	39%16 W · 25 L	-8.8wins	-0.22per pick	61cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Over	19c	55.75$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.68	102	53.9%55 W · 47 L	+14.1wins	+0.14per pick	40cpaid	+58.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over	27c	55.56$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	113	48.7%55 W · 58 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Over	27c	55.56$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	83	62.7%52 W · 31 L	+5.7wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cd…4bdbbacked Under	79c	53.27$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.19	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Over	24c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.25	189	63%119 W · 70 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under	77c	49.89$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.47	153	53.6%82 W · 71 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked Over	20c	49.83$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	60	28.3%17 W · 43 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed Over	23c	48.15$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.13	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9726…349fbacked Over	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	+3.2wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+45.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Under	75c	33.33$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.33	67	62.7%42 W · 25 L	+5.2wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x806c…d4fbbacked Under	76c	30.53$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.33	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	59cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under	73c	27.45$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.42	298	55%164 W · 134 L	+9.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under	80c	23.2$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.73	426	58%247 W · 179 L	+24.6wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Under	76c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.8	51	60.8%31 W · 20 L	+4.9wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	76c	17.7$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.21	412	43.4%179 W · 233 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Under	76c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.6	411	60.1%247 W · 164 L	+22.1wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Under	70c	14.93$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.48	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-3.8wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed Under	79c	14.64$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.05	83	44.6%37 W · 46 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5this page
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event