Asian League · resolved market
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f11b5a0807c14748f74f0443922e12fb483511e24cc95841702f0726de138fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,975 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 1,637$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.54 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 27c | 966.79$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.51 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Yes | 54c | 953.97$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.15 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes | 25c | 776.48$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 56c | 529.18$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.34 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Yes | 57c | 431.82$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.02 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 24c | 346.19$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.93 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 28c | 333.33$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 56c | 321.63$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.03 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed No | 73c | 260.41$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed No | 49c | 251$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.01 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 44c | 235.85$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.07 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 14c | 230.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes | 56c | 221.16$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.87 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 58c | 216$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.28 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 48c | 211.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.21 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 57c | 200.56$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.49 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…38f6backed No | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed No | 45c | 176$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.13 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Yes | 34c | 170$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 69c | 167.33$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 45c | 153.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.18 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked No | 47c | 135.36$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.74 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76a0…fb5bbacked No | 77c | 130.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked No | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed No | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 46c | 111.13$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.62 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0913…a834backed Yes | 33c | 110.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 56c | 102.07$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4801…295fbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed No | 64c | 89.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 52c | 88.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 50c | 79.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 46c | 76.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 44c | 75.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Yes | 21c | 72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 70c | 68.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 34c | 61.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…cf40backed No | 75c | 58.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked No | 48c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 25c | 54.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 22c | 49.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…2723backed No | 46c | 49.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…4f8ebacked Yes | 53c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 46c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Yes | 38c | 37.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 53c | 29.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 58c | 26.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked No | 49c | 23.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 50c | 21.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…e929backed Yes | 57c | 21.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 58c | 18.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will Gangwon FC vs. Jeju SK FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.