Asian League · resolved market
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcd66aadffff858d2970b561b48fbf0a37bb4c5870ff7dfa2a8fb023c691b800
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,822 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 3,228$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.55 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0913…a834backed Yes | 19c | 2,458$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b94…82ccbacked Yes | 17c | 1,584$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.65 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b9…ad8fbacked Yes | 42c | 1,179$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 36c | 1,173$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 14c | 973.5$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.31 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 73c | 814.72$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.54 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 29c | 793.27$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.37 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked No | 48c | 706.25$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.25 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15cc…6268backed Yes | 46c | 657.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 36c | 601.73$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.35 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 52c | 536.54$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.78 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Yes | 17c | 532.88$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked No | 38c | 524.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.25 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…af95backed Yes | 4c | 467.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 21c | 425.88$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.61 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 70c | 368.82$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 35c | 347.89$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.76 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 16c | 299.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.08 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 27c | 284.09$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked No | 73c | 269.64$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Yes | 33c | 261.34$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed No | 59c | 226.92$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…0154backed Yes | 53c | 208.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 68c | 208.86$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 36c | 176.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…431dbacked Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked Yes | 13c | 132.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 20c | 130.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 69c | 129.7$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…cf64backed Yes | 66c | 119.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 15c | 111.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Yes | 18c | 109.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 16c | 97.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed No | 52c | 96.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…e929backed Yes | 17c | 89.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 76c | 88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 60c | 86.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked No | 63c | 85.14$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 19c | 82.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yes | 40c | 77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 54c | 69.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Yes | 78c | 63.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a9…118cbacked Yes | 33c | 59.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…4251backed Yes | 78c | 53.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Yes | 23c | 52.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 77c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 31c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 67c | 44.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefad…9c1bbacked Yes | 65c | 38.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 54c | 37.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd67f…9da5backed Yes | 42c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 58c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Yes | 38c | 26.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 64c | 26.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…2aa6backed No | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Yes | 78c | 21.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2254…bfe0backed Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac1…d5c4backed Yes | 78c | 17.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 77c | 16.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e71…e8d0backed No | 73c | 15.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will Gangwon FC vs. Jeju SK FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.