TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdfe5…cf64

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
139
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT4551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.66
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Alliance - Map 2 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Alliance - Map 1 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$23.47
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Lavked - Map 2 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.33
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
Counter-Strike: OG vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs 9INE - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.54
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Tricked - Map 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Counter-Strike: Omega vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs MANA eSports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$36.77
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs ASTRAL - Map 1 Winnerbacked ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.1
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Arcade Esports vs Rooster (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Arcade Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerbacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.87
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$68.4
Counter-Strike: Haunted House vs Just Swing (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup 2 Playoffsbacked Haunted House · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
Counter-Strike: STATE vs INFURITY Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked STATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs AaB esport - Map 2 Winnerbacked struggletony · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Prestige (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Abacked Prestige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HOTU - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$77
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+54.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Bbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$16.11
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$17.19
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs GLYPH (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stagebacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+900%+$117
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Dota 2: NAVI Junior vs AVULUS - Game 2 Winnerbacked NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+246.8%+$116.78
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.4
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$17.18
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+25%+$28
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+33.3%+$12.5
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+25%+$22
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Yandex (BO1)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+38.7%+$19.52
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$44.18
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.66
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.27
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+74%+$277.95
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Northern Iowa Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.53
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.28
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$16.77
California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverinesbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$54.77
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Stanford Cardinalbacked Stanford Cardinal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+104.1%+$15.61
Richmond Spiders vs. Furman Paladinsbacked Richmond Spiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$66.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick57cpaid+64.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+47.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grand Prix Hassan II: Luca Van Assche vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.79
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Miami Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Quentin Halysbacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+33.3%+$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.6
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Panthers vs. Flamesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.64
Chicago White Sox vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF vs. FC København end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12.67
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$69.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$42.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+58%+$11.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C or higher on March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$38.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+47.9%+$5.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$14.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.