TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Allianceof Passion UA, Alliance
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,874
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,829

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,874 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7a14…d748backed Alliance46c2,977$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.9657358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Passion UA62c2,056$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.0832348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Passion UA1c2,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251030%0 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Passion UA1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201973.6%7 W · 190 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Passion UA56c1,246$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.6526438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alliance61c1,172$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.25,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Passion UA60c1,029$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.535242.9%151 W · 201 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Passion UA1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131943.6%7 W · 187 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Passion UA50c978.92$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.4648437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Passion UA50c850$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42941850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Alliance38c791.73$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.277749.4%38 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Alliance32c742.5$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.6625440.6%103 W · 151 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Alliance56c643.25$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.331,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Passion UA15c577.44$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.574,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Passion UA58c552.81$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.1252947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Alliance40c498.19$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.9261228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Alliance63c490.02$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.747,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Passion UA59c477.04$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.1729858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed Alliance45c435.09$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.2133452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Alliance50c407.07$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.841260.9%251 W · 161 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x106f…d28fbacked Passion UA68c402.28$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.444763.8%30 W · 17 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9f9c…101cbacked Passion UA69c299.99$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.996952.2%36 W · 33 L-9.6wins-0.14per pick66cpaid-22.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed Alliance52c293.97$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.366144.3%27 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x796d…9551backed Passion UA8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.52821.4%6 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Alliance51c242.8$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11949376.1%375 W · 118 L+96.8wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+29.9%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Alliance47c241.05$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.0636554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Alliance42c230.48$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.9769635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Alliance40c228.95$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.3713436.6%49 W · 85 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75c7…909dbacked Alliance33c211.47$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.556643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Passion UA72c207.42$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7781751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Passion UA60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012256.6%69 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4969…6d77backed Alliance52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9622734.4%78 W · 149 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Passion UA48c193.76$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9394645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…b45fbacked Passion UA63c177.15$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.687758.4%45 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Passion UA62c158.63$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.722952%119 W · 110 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85f9…51b1backed Passion UA23c150$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.510753.3%57 W · 50 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Alliance28c147.59$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7584037.9%318 W · 522 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Passion UA72c144.96$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3745058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Alliance37c135.51$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.964439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Passion UA45c134.01$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.761,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x757d…1496backed Alliance49c130$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.324649.6%122 W · 124 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Passion UA15c129.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Passion UA20c121.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7920145.8%92 W · 109 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdefd…afbcbacked Passion UA45c117.64$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.374942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed Alliance37c113.19$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.861942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa8…d75fbacked Passion UA28c109.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.468144.4%36 W · 45 L+6.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03e8…d073backed Alliance47c103.17$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.767136.6%26 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Alliance33c96.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4831328.4%89 W · 224 L-21.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3ef…813bbacked Passion UA44c93.01$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.583743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Passion UA42c89.98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4847260%283 W · 189 L+31.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Passion UA33c85.46$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.482,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa516…235cbacked Passion UA36c80$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.820851.9%108 W · 100 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec6…e52cbacked Alliance37c76.96$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.778360.2%50 W · 33 L-0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Alliance62c73.52$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.624,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9b8…50d8backed Alliance62c66.22$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.176050%30 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39e4…f089backed Passion UA36c60.9$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9232138.3%123 W · 198 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58ea…538dbacked Passion UA62c54.92$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2120549.8%102 W · 103 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14d1…6e8ebacked Passion UA55c50.37$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.72944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Passion UA50c49.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.751,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Passion UA38c49.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7263541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fc8…f527backed Passion UA59c48.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7748826.2%128 W · 360 L-44.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-30.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3839…18b6backed Passion UA52c48.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.352433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8e…c29ebacked Alliance40c48.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9228143.8%123 W · 158 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f43…843abacked Passion UA55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210236.3%37 W · 65 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Passion UA42c39.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.629758.8%57 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed Passion UA50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.449947.5%237 W · 262 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed Passion UA42c34.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4860358.5%353 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34c0…b0e0backed Alliance43c33.69$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.27552%39 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Passion UA58c33.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.540148.4%194 W · 207 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfe5…cf64backed Alliance30c33.53$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.474551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4470…c22ebacked Alliance50c29.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.557536%27 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Passion UA51c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7745240.3%182 W · 270 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Passion UA51c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7757935.1%203 W · 376 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc55…a069backed Passion UA59c24.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.259852%51 W · 47 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d2…5d59backed Alliance61c22.96$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdda0…edaabacked Alliance70c21.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.472934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-44.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0386…2b1abacked Alliance50c20.89$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4570036.1%253 W · 447 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Alliance53c20.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4836151.8%187 W · 174 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Passion UA51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.229347.8%140 W · 153 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Alliance74c19.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0238858.2%226 W · 162 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Passion UA59c18.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7444641.3%184 W · 262 L-28.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaabb…9ab8backed Passion UA66c16.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8711650%58 W · 58 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.