CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4bc70731cc3d6720f70902be78b66848791a3cfbf8c1ef3fbaa097cc21fcd3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Allianceof Passion UA, Alliance
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Passion UA | 47c | 19,795$9,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,341.96 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Passion UA | 48c | 16,655$7,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,994.22 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Alliance | 52c | 10,599$5,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,092.4 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed Alliance | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Alliance | 51c | 9,444$4,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,589.19 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Passion UA | 57c | 4,095$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,338.3 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…cdb1backed Alliance | 53c | 3,098$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.06 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Alliance | 51c | 2,988$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.32 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Alliance | 47c | 2,798$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.44 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed Alliance | 58c | 2,594$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.6 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Passion UA | 50c | 1,658$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.1 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed Alliance | 56c | 1,649$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.74 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Passion UA | 43c | 1,582$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.27 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebcd…5c0bbacked Passion UA | 11c | 1,561$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.34 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +114.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Alliance | 50c | 1,499$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.61 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Alliance | 66c | 1,323$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.9 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0935…d9efbacked Alliance | 60c | 1,268$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 74 | 71.6%53 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Alliance | 52c | 1,254$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.48 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Alliance | 76c | 1,247$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.35 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Alliance | 50c | 1,196$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.43 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…c4adbacked Passion UA | 53c | 1,194$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.66 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Passion UA | 51c | 963.23$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.25 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea7a…446bbacked Alliance | 56c | 926.09$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.54 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Alliance | 57c | 855.68$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.51 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd4…39b8backed Passion UA | 43c | 838.29$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.82 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Alliance | 62c | 809.08$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Passion UA | 47c | 763.11$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.99 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Alliance | 56c | 692.65$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.11 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5664backed Passion UA | 50c | 679$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.5 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe30c…3f38backed Passion UA | 24c | 673.81$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.71 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Alliance | 77c | 614.64$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.19 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…18b6backed Passion UA | 18c | 601.38$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.03 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Passion UA | 24c | 507.25$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.03 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Passion UA | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Alliance | 46c | 489.64$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.08 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9147…baccbacked Alliance | 52c | 466.92$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.12 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Passion UA | 57c | 457.99$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.13 | 204 | 58.3%119 W · 85 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Passion UA | 47c | 429.94$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.45 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…bb56backed Alliance | 50c | 426.8$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.4 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Passion UA | 48c | 426.28$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Passion UA | 24c | 416.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Alliance | 49c | 414.98$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.91 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Alliance | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Passion UA | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Alliance | 75c | 399.3$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked Alliance | 50c | 386.3$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.15 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked Alliance | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…d8d9backed Passion UA | 36c | 341.75$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked Passion UA | 51c | 320.01$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.21 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Passion UA | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Passion UA | 5c | 292.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Passion UA | 67c | 291.75$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.06 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…8a83backed Alliance | 51c | 291.18$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.68 | 151 | 33.1%50 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Alliance | 50c | 291$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 524 | 56.3%295 W · 229 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Alliance | 58c | 289.46$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Alliance | 56c | 284.16$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.99 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Passion UA | 19c | 273.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc98…5308backed Passion UA | 23c | 265.16$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Passion UA | 46c | 263.76$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.33 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Alliance | 46c | 246.72$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 386 | 50.8%196 W · 190 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…6743backed Passion UA | 50c | 237.65$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…d974backed Passion UA | 50c | 233.97$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -18.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Passion UA | 46c | 232.34$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.39 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe454…8b7dbacked Passion UA | 46c | 231.11$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.31 | 153 | 60.1%92 W · 61 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Alliance | 51c | 228.38$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.9 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Passion UA | 43c | 225.76$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.08 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Passion UA | 51c | 224.33$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.53 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…5bbfbacked Passion UA | 44c | 217.22$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Passion UA | 36c | 214.46$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked Alliance | 52c | 210.26$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed Passion UA | 49c | 210$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Alliance | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 260 | 75%195 W · 65 L | +23.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Passion UA | 23c | 199.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Passion UA | 24c | 198.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Alliance | 56c | 198.33$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c3…16ccbacked Passion UA | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Passion UA | 38c | 192.57$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 392 | 58.2%228 W · 164 L | +18.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Passion UA | 51c | 189.66$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Passion UA | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Alliance | 55c | 169.94$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.93 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…1131backed Passion UA | 9c | 166.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked Alliance | 73c | 155.78$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d64…b4c0backed Alliance | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Alliance | 34c | 142.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.18 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…1e5cbacked Alliance | 53c | 121.03$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Alliance | 51c | 120.48$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.19 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xd419…0d64backed Passion UA | 49c | 118.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b17…b58dbacked Passion UA | 50c | 117.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…c533backed Passion UA | 49c | 116.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 222 | 56.8%126 W · 96 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Alliance | 44c | 110.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.93 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Alliance | 54c | 107.53$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Passion UA | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…b50ebacked Passion UA | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -7.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Alliance | 34c | 103$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.57 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Alliance | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Alliance | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…ee57backed Passion UA | 55c | 98.62$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f1…3fd9backed Alliance | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Passion UA | 46c | 96.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed Passion UA | 25c | 95.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Alliance - Map 1 WinnerAlliance won
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Alliance - Map 2 WinnerAlliance won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.