TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0935…d9ef

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT7471.6%53 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.28
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$3.21
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$5.78
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.98
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.59
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$17.85
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$8.31
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.48
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.27
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.9
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.84
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.3
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.96
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$9.16
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.28
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.8
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$51.37
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.33
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$75
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$57.2
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$329.83
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$103.57
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$159.29
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.43
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffsbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.6
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.65
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.91
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.13
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.16
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.14
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$727Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$342.08
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$140.02
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$18.89
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.68
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.24
All 13 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$5.7
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$9.15
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.64
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.41
Valorant: Team Vitality vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.4
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$13.5
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$72.91
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5
Valorant: Team Envy vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.59
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$23.17
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs T1 - Map 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.89
Valorant: YFP Gaming vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagebacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.05
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.99
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.2
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$27.44
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.61
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$25.74
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.53
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.96
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.09
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$38.25
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$110.58
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$7.19
England vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$19.14
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grass Court Championships: Alexandra Eala vs Elena Rybakinabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$17.6
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Martin Damm vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$100.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$86.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$18.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.