TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Legacyof PARIVISION, Legacy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$766,719
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$834,045

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $766,719 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 500 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed PARIVISION50c100,000$49,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,998.750054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Legacy53c65,000$34,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,299.9576058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Legacy50c58,676$29,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,337.8425355.7%141 W · 112 L+19.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked Legacy53c32,233$17,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,149.634639.1%18 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked PARIVISION66c19,035$12,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,588.5341040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Legacy54c17,500$9,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,05021048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked PARIVISION47c16,205$7,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,616.3623145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed PARIVISION47c15,000$7,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,10023243.5%101 W · 131 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked PARIVISION45c12,886$5,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,739.661,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked PARIVISION56c12,796$7,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,125.683844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed PARIVISION46c12,482$5,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,684.0146149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Legacy51c11,814$5,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,838.829855.1%54 W · 44 L+8.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION40c11,078$4,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,457.941,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Legacy56c10,607$5,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,692.4414947.7%71 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Legacy51c10,510$5,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,097.7775450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Legacy53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,70033359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked PARIVISION50c9,509$4,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,754.3714145.4%64 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed Legacy33c9,063$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,062.627157.7%41 W · 30 L+8.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed PARIVISION46c8,404$3,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,885.6817643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION44c8,337$3,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,649.2137646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed PARIVISION41c8,317$3,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,414.9688746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked PARIVISION41c7,995$3,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,298.071,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed PARIVISION49c7,782$3,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,782.5712259.8%73 W · 49 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb517…06ddbacked Legacy64c6,000$3,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,182.746266.1%41 W · 21 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed PARIVISION50c5,946$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,969.5987047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Legacy63c5,202$3,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,924.677,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Legacy53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35037157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Legacy21c4,800$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,791.9851252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked PARIVISION31c4,541$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.122129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked PARIVISION48c4,300$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,06464852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5903…d02bbacked Legacy56c4,275$2,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.895230.8%16 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick37cpaid+18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fd2…5dedbacked Legacy54c3,679$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,687.542240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked PARIVISION46c3,608$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,643.91,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc790…85b1backed Legacy58c3,516$2,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.743938.5%15 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed Legacy50c3,450$1,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.9142651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked PARIVISION79c3,331$2,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,620.065267.3%35 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2fd…5dabbacked Legacy20c3,250$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,612.479746.4%45 W · 52 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed PARIVISION47c3,224$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.232,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Legacy39c3,208$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,970.815,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed PARIVISION47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.9997040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5257…f324backed Legacy39c2,990$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.111844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION64c2,933$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,867.616,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION59c2,891$1,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.452,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION49c2,748$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.321,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked PARIVISION45c2,676$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.2221251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd32f…1496backed PARIVISION48c2,612$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.1612759.1%75 W · 52 L+12.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Legacy53c2,500$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.134559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Legacy53c2,500$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17029449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70bc…4e16backed PARIVISION41c2,442$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.48728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed PARIVISION47c2,403$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.528549.5%141 W · 144 L+1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Legacy50c2,359$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.772,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Legacy53c2,319$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0901,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked PARIVISION44c2,230$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.6818444%81 W · 103 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Legacy47c2,149$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.526647%31 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Legacy42c2,099$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.92,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Legacy71c2,089$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.661,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9700…798fbacked Legacy54c2,037$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.0412852.3%67 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bef…5e49backed PARIVISION45c2,002$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.98256.1%46 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Legacy53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94078639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Legacy51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.9853545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Legacy54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.851,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed PARIVISION47c1,750$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.564552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Legacy47c1,733$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.7691743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed PARIVISION44c1,700$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75228943.6%126 W · 163 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked PARIVISION50c1,697$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.6175245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Legacy52c1,602$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.32,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9625…5bb7backed Legacy52c1,600$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7685459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Legacy49c1,588$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.952,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed PARIVISION67c1,532$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.5738868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Legacy54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69017737.3%66 W · 111 L-16.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Legacy53c1,472$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.147439.2%29 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked PARIVISION50c1,427$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.8683652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Legacy46c1,414$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.91,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed PARIVISION50c1,350$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6755459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PARIVISION51c1,314$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.391,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa83f…b857backed PARIVISION47c1,302$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.6712749.6%63 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x435f…2de6backed Legacy57c1,297$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.336354%34 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce80…08edbacked Legacy61c1,292$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.811947.1%56 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Legacy47c1,254$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.713,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed PARIVISION45c1,250$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.514847.3%70 W · 78 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Legacy45c1,237$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.0614247.2%67 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Legacy68c1,234$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.232348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x177e…c244backed PARIVISION31c1,195$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.0616633.7%56 W · 110 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed PARIVISION48c1,129$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54224233.9%82 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked PARIVISION77c1,126$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87035449.7%176 W · 178 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed PARIVISION47c1,111$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.1738650.8%196 W · 190 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked PARIVISION72c1,107$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80061754.8%338 W · 279 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ed…5680backed PARIVISION64c1,091$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.55366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Legacy22c1,074$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.2332542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed PARIVISION47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50096545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfffe…4e6cbacked Legacy52c1,025$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.7227749.5%137 W · 140 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Legacy59c1,016$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.3615155%83 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked Legacy54c1,010$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.635460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe59c…4da7backed PARIVISION69c1,003$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.4415264.5%98 W · 54 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Legacy50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50060248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed PARIVISION67c999.96$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.9713357.1%76 W · 57 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed PARIVISION14c989.76$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.5741716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5537…fdaabacked Legacy55c985.88$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.887272.2%52 W · 20 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+6.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Legacy61c928.77$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.3316349.7%81 W · 82 L-19.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xddef…d52bbacked Legacy45c917.17$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.69933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-36%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.