CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8266ea77c16494d05f8242f656cdf2e24393d2ccd979f0d529fe9752f655730b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x92ad…9706backed Over | 50c | 6,959$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Under | 49c | 5,702$2,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907.83 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.99 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Over | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 1,672$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.48 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Under | 50c | 1,438$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.9 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Over | 45c | 646.96$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.92 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 54c | 597.8$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 461 | 43.4%200 W · 261 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Over | 49c | 494.01$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.71 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Over | 49c | 408.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 236 | 58.5%138 W · 98 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6dfdbacked Over | 50c | 400.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d95…9e68backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Over | 49c | 320.8$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.19 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b7…1454backed Over | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 48c | 168.28$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 46c | 145.9$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.68 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd85d…0f24backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 51c | 125$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 53c | 111.27$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…fb82backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca3…b826backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 47c | 102.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Over | 69c | 102.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.26 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…15e9backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 31c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 597 | 32.2%192 W · 405 L | -49.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed Under | 52c | 99.16$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Over | 46c | 97.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Over | 48c | 81.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 13c | 78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 51c | 77.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…f60abacked Under | 55c | 64.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a65…5864backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71db…aba8backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2455…7559backed Over | 48c | 55.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 51c | 52.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…e462backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 236 | 56.4%133 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…3a92backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1258…6a43backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 52c | 49.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Over | 49c | 42.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2a…0f79backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Over | 44c | 41.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 233 | 54.5%127 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Over | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 177 | 64.4%114 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 54c | 35.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…6504backed Under | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 288 | 56.6%163 W · 125 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 64c | 29.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 1,360 | 66.3%901 W · 459 L | +75.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…8a80backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Legacy won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 WinnerLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 WinnerLegacy won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5)PARIVISION won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)Legacy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.