TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Legacyof Legacy, PARIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,522
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,258

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,522 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1136…0c2ebacked PARIVISION66c55,251$36,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,313.1914050.7%71 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed Legacy34c40,000$13,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,40020354.2%110 W · 93 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Legacy34c20,576$7,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,509.0910935.8%39 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked PARIVISION68c5,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.9836453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked PARIVISION67c2,609$1,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,741.025,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed PARIVISION66c2,600$1,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,714.3430340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Legacy34c2,500$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.9721251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Legacy52c2,408$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.0328549.5%141 W · 144 L+1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked Legacy34c2,135$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.2920358.1%118 W · 85 L+22.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked PARIVISION60c1,584$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.931,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Legacy34c1,500$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.988051.3%41 W · 39 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Legacy44c1,344$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.565546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed Legacy47c1,068$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.6541938.9%163 W · 256 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Legacy50c1,047$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.785851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d29…0206backed PARIVISION50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked PARIVISION54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9919351.3%99 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked PARIVISION66c998.99$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.331,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a4…8427backed Legacy32c830.44$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.76848.5%33 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Legacy31c804.27$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.9541649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Legacy32c750$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51055845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed PARIVISION54c733.27$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.492,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Legacy32c687.47$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.481,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Legacy34c676.18$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.2832542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc9…7552backed Legacy44c600$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33616749.1%82 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7353…b476backed Legacy54c555.69$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.699246.7%43 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b6d…27bbbacked PARIVISION66c530.3$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505052%26 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c67…e40ebacked PARIVISION56c499.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9919642.9%84 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Legacy46c499.99$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.991,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b87…6a47backed PARIVISION66c451.26$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013059.2%77 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d95…9e68backed Legacy34c441.18$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.185440.7%22 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed PARIVISION69c435.26$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x206c…2b8dbacked PARIVISION66c406.71$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.436744.8%30 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Legacy32c402.75$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.8723145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed PARIVISION55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2206134.4%21 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Legacy50c390$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19539157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69e4…9bacbacked Legacy34c388.94$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.719845.5%90 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed PARIVISION66c378.79$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked PARIVISION48c372.15$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.1398052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed PARIVISION67c362.57$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.252,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed PARIVISION67c329.23$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.5150051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed Legacy32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.519245.8%88 W · 104 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee4b…43dcbacked Legacy33c304.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.3438051.3%195 W · 185 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Legacy32c304.69$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.192,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Legacy34c294.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.5631451.6%162 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29db…19c3backed Legacy54c276.77$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.2712041.7%50 W · 70 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed PARIVISION66c266.15$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.662,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked PARIVISION68c261.5$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.8235947.9%172 W · 187 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked PARIVISION67c250$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.589248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed PARIVISION46c230.44$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10635054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2c4…0734backed Legacy34c205.88$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.8818848.4%91 W · 97 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Legacy25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15035745.4%162 W · 195 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked Legacy32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2549651.2%254 W · 242 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf0…e384backed PARIVISION66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Legacy34c150$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9982146.3%380 W · 441 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb885…e677backed Legacy35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.863240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Legacy28c139.15$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.691,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc110…f3eabacked Legacy36c136.5$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3610156.4%57 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11e7…f559backed Legacy35c126.74$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4614145.4%64 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked PARIVISION56c123.96$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4220755.1%114 W · 93 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked PARIVISION69c121.29$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.698353%44 W · 39 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Legacy39c116.03$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.581,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Legacy33c110$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.713435.8%48 W · 86 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed PARIVISION66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6626451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd71c…20b3backed Legacy35c95.19$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8710339.8%41 W · 62 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x786c…dd20backed Legacy32c93.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7521942.5%93 W · 126 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14c8…c192backed PARIVISION56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010052%52 W · 48 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa45d…93f1backed PARIVISION68c80$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.414250.7%72 W · 70 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed PARIVISION67c74.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9734750.7%176 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x285a…0126backed PARIVISION67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013857.2%79 W · 59 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed Legacy35c74$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.18554.1%46 W · 39 L+11.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+40.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xee4e…fbfbbacked PARIVISION68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed PARIVISION56c69.64$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed PARIVISION66c68.09$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.699148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed Legacy34c66.67$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4420556.6%116 W · 89 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6919…da67backed PARIVISION68c66.53$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4538754.8%212 W · 175 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf54b…91f7backed Legacy35c64.83$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1416538.8%64 W · 101 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed Legacy33c54.4$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.426657.9%154 W · 112 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf08…12a3backed PARIVISION56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308648.8%42 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Legacy34c49.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9928042.5%119 W · 161 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb27b…5d6ebacked PARIVISION61c49.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306758.2%39 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked PARIVISION61c44.12$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7426653.4%142 W · 124 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e24…b6d5backed Legacy47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5512052.5%63 W · 57 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Legacy34c38.24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2437448.4%181 W · 193 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed PARIVISION48c37.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8624451.2%125 W · 119 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…2c66backed PARIVISION67c36.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick62cpaid-63%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e46…8c1cbacked Legacy32c34.79$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6623654.7%129 W · 107 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb974…6be7backed Legacy33c34.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.88944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xace6…a13dbacked Legacy32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.256058.3%35 W · 25 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6efa…a0a7backed Legacy50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1530247%142 W · 160 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed PARIVISION69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206150.8%31 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed PARIVISION44c28.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.668659.5%408 W · 278 L+65.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Legacy44c28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6876248.4%369 W · 393 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked PARIVISION67c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6349149.9%245 W · 246 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Legacy50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d1…1ec3backed PARIVISION68c16.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.054158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.