TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3b87…6a47

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
291
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT13059.2%77 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 130 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$364.4
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$315.79
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$392.86
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$79.75
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$157.14
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$105.41
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$286.27
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$70.27
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$127.95
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$11.9
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$295.82
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NIP (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$289.46
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$91.94
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$159.84
Showing 25 of 130 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT5160.8%31 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,540Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+128.4%+$3,262.46
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$430
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesanabacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouamebacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Yibing Wubacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$371.43
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$228.37
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$191.23
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Tien (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$502.26
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Fils (+1.5)backed Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Fils vs. Zverev: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Djokovic vs. Draper: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$244.21
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Alex Michelsenbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$149.35
BNP Paribas Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$184.93
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Fils vs. Auger-Aliassime: Match O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
BNP Paribas Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$319.67
BNP Paribas Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$319.67
BNP Paribas Open: Ben Shelton vs Learner Tienbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$141.03
BNP Paribas Open: Sebastian Korda vs Alex de Minaurbacked Sebastian Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$199.99
Korda vs. Minaur: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+95.4%+$390.36
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT4740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$621Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$620.88
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$234.78
Will Senegal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.97
Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$525
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+107.4%+$107.42
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+143.3%+$455.08
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+157.1%+$157.07
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$212.5
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$149.87
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$406.47
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$270.2
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$9,200
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$7,974Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,974.01
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,650.41
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,064Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,064.17
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,192Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$307.98
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,702Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,702.12
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$945Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$944.64
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.6
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,648Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,648.26
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,093Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,093.37
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+47.8%+$96.98
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$649.99
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$7,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$7,031.59
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+184%+$1,122.18
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,884Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,884.21
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$52.17
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$141.59
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$8,123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$8,123.38
Over $18M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+90.4%+$90.45
Over $16M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+42.9%+$150
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,790Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$1,790
Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$9,020Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+28.7%+$2,589.71
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$283
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.02
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$1,204.08
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$583.33
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,808Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$4,807.55
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,753Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+166.4%+$6,246.71
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,726Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$6,726.05
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$7,225Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+52%+$3,759.14
Will Daniel Baluta finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,879.79
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10,629Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+88.2%+$9,370.08
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Euro Basket: Turkey vs Greecebacked Turkey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+91.2%+$592.95
EuroBasket: Germany vs. Sloveniabacked Slovenia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
EuroBasket: Finland vs. Georgiabacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$656Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+53%+$347.49
All 3 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Marty Supreme" win no awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+66%+$66.04
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,121Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+39%+$827.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+71.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+100%+$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$969.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+53.8%+$161.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,438Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+42.4%+$609.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.