Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Tien (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x701fa7aaf62f0c71473d986c521055fab55d95aaacb0ae31ddf2765569974542
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnerof Sinner, Tien
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,847 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Tien | 23c | 17,701$4,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,152.82 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Sinner | 74c | 8,467$6,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.6 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…16a3backed Tien | 29c | 5,647$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.23 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Sinner | 75c | 4,644$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.47 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Sinner | 71c | 3,000$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.36 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4403backed Sinner | 74c | 2,980$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.23 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Sinner | 76c | 2,646$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.17 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Tien | 25c | 2,500$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.99 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Tien | 25c | 2,134$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.96 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Tien | 24c | 2,100$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 131 | 35.9%47 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Tien | 25c | 2,074$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.78 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed Sinner | 75c | 2,002$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.26 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tien | 27c | 1,231$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.37 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Sinner | 70c | 1,021$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.43 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a80…8c5ebacked Sinner | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Tien | 25c | 999$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Tien | 25c | 991.52$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.14 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…e7b3backed Sinner | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Sinner | 70c | 680.71$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.21 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Tien | 11c | 674.67$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.93 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…816ebacked Sinner | 74c | 541.89$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96cb…75cbbacked Tien | 29c | 416.38$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.7 | 114 | 26.3%30 W · 84 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…8b57backed Sinner | 70c | 347.14$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.14 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Tien | 26c | 321.12$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…05e2backed Sinner | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 196 | 49%96 W · 100 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…8341backed Sinner | 73c | 205$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Sinner | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 361 | 61.8%223 W · 138 L | +41.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Sinner | 74c | 169.17$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed Sinner | 75c | 160.52$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tien | 24c | 148.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdeb…8cd1backed Sinner | 70c | 139.92$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Sinner | 75c | 133.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Sinner | 75c | 133.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Tien | 25c | 115.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Tien | 26c | 88.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8def…59b2backed Sinner | 75c | 80.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f07…8626backed Sinner | 76c | 79.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0850…cb8cbacked Tien | 28c | 71.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1736…32f1backed Tien | 28c | 71.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Sinner | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47b8…76f2backed Sinner | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Tien | 19c | 68.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Tien | 30c | 50.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 526 | 61.2%322 W · 204 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Sinner | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Tien | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Tien | 26c | 42.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Tien | 30c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a5…afc0backed Sinner | 74c | 28.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…0abbbacked Sinner | 70c | 22.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d0…1a1abacked Sinner | 70c | 20.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebcb…dd4bbacked Sinner | 74c | 20.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9a…e8c6backed Sinner | 73c | 20.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed Sinner | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 53 | 77.4%41 W · 12 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…df81backed Sinner | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68f…58edbacked Sinner | 72c | 16.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Tien (+1.5)this page
- BNP Paribas Open: Learner Tien vs Jannik SinnerJannik Sinner won
- Learner Tien vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Tien vs SinnerSinner won
- Tien vs. Sinner: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Tien vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.