TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5f50…8341

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-46.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Set 1 Winner: Rybakina vs Pegulabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.78
Miami Open, Qualification: Kaja Juvan vs Mary Stoianabacked Mary Stoiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Miami Open, Qualification: Caroline Dolehide vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Caroline Dolehide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.84
Miami Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Thea Frodinbacked Thea Frodin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Medvedev (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$45.99
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$763Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$762.8
Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Medvedevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$92.56
Alexander Zverev vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.16
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Tien (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$55.5
BNP Paribas Open: Learner Tien vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Learner Tien vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.4
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Draper (+1.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.96
Novak Djokovic vs. Jack Draper: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$280
Djokovic vs. Draper: Match O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.04
Djokovic vs. Draper: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Set 1 Winner: Djokovic vs Draperbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$430.43
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+35.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$65
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$90.38
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$305.56
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$206
Warriors vs. Wizardsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.9
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+300%+$300
Mavericks vs. Cavaliersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+978.7%+$978.73
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.04
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Bulls vs. Lakersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.99
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.41
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,850Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$900.42
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2025, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.2
Blue Jays vs. Tigersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$270
Athletics vs. Tigersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$672Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$672
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$290
Yankees vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$1,013.62
Mariners vs. Twinsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$988Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+102.4%+$1,011.91
Diamondbacks vs. Rockiesbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,449Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$851
Mariners vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,183.79
Mets vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$1,760
Angels vs. Yankeesbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Twins vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$396.9
Orioles vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$460
Mets vs. Bravesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,132.32
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-35.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$114
Penguins vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Bruins vs. Devilsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Utah vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Flames vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Red Wings vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Rangers vs. Wildbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$253.99
Spread: Utah (-1.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.76
Blues vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.98
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+217.5%+$274
Will UCLA win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+900%+$123.5
Will UConn win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.79
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$205.12
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.6
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.49
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.81
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+84.4%+$181.86
Clemson Tigers vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.91
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-42%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+101.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$39.4
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$82.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea beat Esperance Sportive?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will Bayern Munich beat Benfica?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+87.7%+$46.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.