MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4122514f790979339e32431906d12c4d2b0d27998f9e65e194c2726e5059920d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Orioles, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Rays | 52c | 8,171$4,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,922.23 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Orioles | 48c | 4,591$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.19 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Orioles | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Orioles | 47c | 3,832$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.08 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…8d19backed Rays | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Orioles | 70c | 2,943$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.61 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Rays | 54c | 2,876$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.52 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Rays | 23c | 2,611$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.64 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Orioles | 47c | 2,405$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.35 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 52c | 2,384$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.66 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Rays | 52c | 2,054$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.03 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Rays | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Orioles | 49c | 1,990$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.1 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Rays | 1c | 1,901$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.16 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Orioles | 59c | 1,760$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.56 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rays | 14c | 1,754$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.16 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rays | 41c | 1,691$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.28 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Rays | 24c | 1,530$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.29 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Rays | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Orioles | 37c | 1,453$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.14 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rays | 9c | 1,276$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.16 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rays | 50c | 1,241$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.45 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Rays | 2c | 1,200$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.2 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rays | 53c | 1,122$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.24 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Rays | 2c | 1,120$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.36 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Orioles | 44c | 1,111$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.76 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Orioles | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Rays | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…8341backed Rays | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Orioles | 47c | 999.98$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Orioles | 46c | 995$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.7 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…55a0backed Orioles | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Orioles | 50c | 803.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Orioles | 47c | 726.47$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.17 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa239…89d6backed Rays | 13c | 700$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +270.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rays | 52c | 656$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.88 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Rays | 53c | 599.97$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.99 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Orioles | 46c | 527.89$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.99 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 35c | 511.85$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.59 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rays | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Rays | 51c | 475.97$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.23 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rays | 52c | 424.9$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.95 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Rays | 52c | 400.03$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.01 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…51c6backed Orioles | 79c | 397.68$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.17 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 48c | 397.45$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.2 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Rays | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Orioles | 74c | 364$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.15 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Orioles | 37c | 320.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.17 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Rays | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Rays | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Orioles | 48c | 279.69$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.25 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Rays | 55c | 267.27$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.27 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Orioles | 48c | 209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Rays | 51c | 208.96$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.39 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rays | 54c | 208$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.68 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac1…2248backed Rays | 57c | 195.14$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays | 32c | 194.12$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.17 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rays | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rays | 30c | 180$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.73 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Orioles | 47c | 155.44$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Rays | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Rays | 51c | 152$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Orioles | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf47d…f295backed Rays | 52c | 144.08$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Rays | 53c | 141.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.84 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rays | 61c | 134.05$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Rays | 10c | 120$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.37 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Rays | 52c | 116.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Rays | 52c | 114$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.27 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Rays | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Orioles | 47c | 106$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Rays | 14c | 104.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.67 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a4…932dbacked Orioles | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rays | 51c | 100.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Rays | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Rays | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Rays | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Rays | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…509abacked Rays | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Orioles | 49c | 95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Rays | 53c | 92.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Orioles | 49c | 89.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…3ee6backed Rays | 17c | 88.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.76 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…580dbacked Rays | 53c | 88.45$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Rays | 29c | 87.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Orioles | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Orioles | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac46…ca4abacked Rays | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Rays | 41c | 74.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Orioles | 44c | 71.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Rays | 53c | 66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf376…8501backed Orioles | 48c | 60.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a14…da4abacked Rays | 53c | 59.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Orioles | 49c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…1a01backed Rays | 53c | 53.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…0fb4backed Orioles | 48c | 52.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Rays | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Rays | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.