TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Thunder

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thunderof Celtics, Thunder
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,479,347

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,479,347 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,592 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a57…2afabacked Thunder75c120,818$91,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,673.738944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Celtics27c112,578$30,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,80020744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Celtics29c86,351$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00036549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Thunder68c74,898$50,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,310.6334456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Thunder71c68,613$48,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,237.161,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Thunder73c63,309$45,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,396.919645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa491…3177backed Thunder58c50,755$29,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,077.285959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Celtics32c48,450$15,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,448.71,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed Celtics27c42,541$11,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,442.111737.6%44 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder73c42,031$30,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,270.034,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e9…4044backed Thunder71c40,628$28,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,794.489053.3%48 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Celtics26c40,000$10,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,396.868452.4%44 W · 40 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Thunder72c38,141$27,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,759.589655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Celtics35c37,620$13,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,324.666248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Thunder72c34,722$24,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,744.9836359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d43…ce68backed Thunder72c30,421$21,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,451.3117247.7%82 W · 90 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Celtics34c30,304$10,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,303.2728241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Thunder72c29,917$21,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,395.65,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Thunder74c29,699$21,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,717.187759.7%46 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Celtics27c29,658$7,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,954.031,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05b2…a469backed Thunder76c28,113$21,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,823.041471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Thunder70c27,859$19,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,295.0932540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe877…bb43backed Celtics33c27,596$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0002222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Thunder72c27,475$19,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,693.129055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Celtics26c25,762$6,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,590.11,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Thunder72c24,918$18,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,897.7352760%316 W · 211 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics36c24,835$8,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,868.298,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Celtics24c24,333$5,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,860.1259646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Celtics35c24,332$8,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,566.5785344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Thunder71c23,830$16,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,910.8630845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Thunder74c23,259$17,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,047.3811955.5%66 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae5…ead2backed Celtics42c21,190$8,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,9005248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Celtics25c21,000$5,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,287.291,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…b386backed Thunder74c20,336$15,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,296.373946.2%18 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+24.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Thunder74c20,000$14,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,200.0774748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb58e…d570backed Thunder77c19,659$15,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,521.611266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Celtics24c19,494$4,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,67720948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics27c19,214$5,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,236.44,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Celtics30c18,777$5,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,606.63,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Celtics25c18,768$4,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,69026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Thunder73c18,246$13,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,932.6438253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Thunder72c18,058$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,058.021,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Celtics23c17,529$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00010523.8%25 W · 80 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Celtics28c17,311$4,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,845.878728.7%25 W · 62 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Thunder72c17,092$12,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,843.492,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…e17dbacked Thunder71c16,301$11,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,774.315032%16 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76ab…506dbacked Celtics29c16,301$4,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,772.984551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Celtics30c16,215$4,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,860.7227865.8%183 W · 95 L+25.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed Celtics28c16,151$4,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,457.7314450.7%73 W · 71 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Thunder60c16,107$9,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,454.7726444.7%118 W · 146 L-15.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Celtics23c15,787$3,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,626.6748845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d2…cc46backed Thunder71c15,194$10,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,449.983256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+29%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Thunder59c14,107$8,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,810.775552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Thunder70c14,037$9,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,243.681,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Celtics40c13,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.9910530.5%32 W · 73 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Celtics31c12,911$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00024831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Thunder74c12,811$9,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,330.8523257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Celtics28c12,681$3,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,524.793,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Celtics34c12,000$4,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,13039349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7960…734dbacked Thunder68c11,742$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,741.643669.4%25 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+36.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics25c11,524$2,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8871,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Celtics28c11,341$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.7272450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6165…db3cbacked Thunder72c11,111$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,111.118662.8%54 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Celtics32c11,043$3,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,529.6242335.9%152 W · 271 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Thunder77c11,000$8,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,53026637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a18…85b5backed Celtics34c10,813$3,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,711.378440.5%34 W · 50 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Thunder65c10,573$6,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,701.222453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Thunder71c10,189$7,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,954.7359347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Thunder72c10,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8009159.3%54 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a84…ffbbbacked Celtics41c9,823$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.869330.1%28 W · 65 L-9.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Celtics33c9,591$3,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,141.984,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Thunder69c9,521$6,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,993.419957.8%115 W · 84 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Celtics16c9,516$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.981,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Celtics24c9,430$2,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,228.6650241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Celtics32c9,294$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002532%8 W · 17 L-5.0wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-37.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Thunder73c9,207$6,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,528.651,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Thunder66c9,091$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,090.9110952.3%57 W · 52 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Celtics15c9,012$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.552,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec6…f355backed Thunder71c9,000$6,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,610.063847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c1d…3846backed Celtics29c9,000$2,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,609.996943.5%30 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Thunder69c8,735$6,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,733.1526353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Celtics20c8,564$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7008429.8%25 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Celtics32c8,359$2,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,636.8834851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed Celtics33c8,138$2,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,685.661250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Celtics28c8,075$2,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2611,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Celtics29c8,000$2,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,319.1332039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Thunder71c8,000$5,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,32019033.7%64 W · 126 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Thunder66c7,915$5,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,723.82,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c53…0d37backed Thunder67c7,900$5,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,618.411153.2%59 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0707…310abacked Celtics31c7,890$2,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,418.256746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder72c7,775$5,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,195.254,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Celtics1c7,738$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3864517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Thunder74c7,609$5,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978.5861851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Celtics14c7,607$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.278225.6%21 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Celtics32c7,154$2,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,275.9793148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Celtics22c7,137$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.169547.4%45 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Celtics26c7,000$1,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,817.071,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Thunder72c6,907$4,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,924.7285248.9%417 W · 435 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Thunder67c6,755$4,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,229.149938.4%38 W · 61 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4900…4a72backed Thunder70c6,674$4,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,011.165940.7%24 W · 35 L-12.5wins-0.21per pick62cpaid-41.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.