TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$123,217
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,103

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,217 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee17…b46ebacked Under51c22,422$11,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,987.224257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over49c13,539$6,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,660.139842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Under52c11,000$5,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,230.0511741.9%49 W · 68 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c8,947$4,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,275.169,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c8,770$4,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,258.194,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under52c7,384$3,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,545.221,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under52c4,666$2,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,239.731,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over49c4,069$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00017246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Under51c3,512$1,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,720.6426544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over47c3,475$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.41,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over49c3,061$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f94…aabebacked Under53c2,901$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ab4…d648backed Over47c2,725$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffbe…acd0backed Over47c2,652$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x724a…3111backed Under53c2,476$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c1,856$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.946,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2148…3f30backed Under50c1,732$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.411275%9 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+50.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Under50c1,460$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.4516953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Over48c1,433$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.319352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbab0…4f1cbacked Over48c1,420$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa126…477abacked Under52c1,420$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x123e…60d1backed Under52c1,420$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb8d…d608backed Under52c1,420$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe36d…506ebacked Under52c1,420$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd255…9c88backed Under52c1,420$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a6b…7535backed Under52c1,420$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb4…d6e5backed Under52c1,420$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14c7…bcd1backed Under52c1,420$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb7b…ed93backed Under52c1,420$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f16…3dd2backed Under52c1,420$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6f8…d659backed Under52c1,420$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x357a…e681backed Under52c1,420$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37f6…4feebacked Under52c1,420$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cc1…bec4backed Under52c1,420$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8136…fb82backed Under52c1,420$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3361…406abacked Under52c1,420$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcd2…c16abacked Under52c1,420$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629c…de73backed Under52c1,420$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc6…3635backed Under52c1,420$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe376…681bbacked Under52c1,420$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0df…c2d4backed Under52c1,420$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…7b90backed Under52c1,420$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6b7…2c78backed Under52c1,420$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1686…b65cbacked Under52c1,420$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6882…6fd4backed Under52c1,420$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5d8…ca3fbacked Over48c1,418$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a90…d628backed Over48c1,418$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d71…2f7abacked Over48c1,417$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73fa…7abebacked Over48c1,417$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2eac…adc3backed Over48c1,417$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed80…0c00backed Over48c1,417$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f47…cabebacked Over48c1,417$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf7a…acb8backed Over48c1,417$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14c3…fc03backed Over48c1,417$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa319…c831backed Over48c1,417$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8398…edd9backed Over48c1,417$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5385…6c84backed Over48c1,417$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc82d…0cbbbacked Over48c1,417$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ff…6e93backed Over48c1,417$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6080…b07cbacked Over48c1,417$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1b0…8f53backed Over48c1,417$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b0d…fccabacked Over48c1,417$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4b8…c0febacked Over48c1,417$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3014…cf90backed Over48c1,417$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa140…2327backed Over48c1,417$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7eb…ab64backed Over48c1,417$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6387…bfb8backed Over48c1,417$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea30…e10ebacked Over48c1,417$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc295…7b0dbacked Over48c1,417$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c1,205$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.292,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa182…03fabacked Over48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.168949.4%44 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c1,030$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.14,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over48c828.55$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.9623850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Under53c811.58$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.5818343.7%80 W · 103 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under66c785.07$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.128,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over48c772.02$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.412,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Over49c676.96$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.2418043.3%78 W · 102 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under52c636.99$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.7626839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46bd…37e8backed Under51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2416837.5%63 W · 105 L-20.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under52c577.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.1927746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Under52c510.98$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.7622846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over48c501.87$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.91,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x968f…5129backed Over48c448.85$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2151030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-39.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over18c431$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.571,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Over48c420.83$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20232450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Over48c417.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010351.5%53 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under50c400.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.59245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over48c386$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.281,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under52c385.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.141,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under52c380.9$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.6892058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over48c356.99$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.3654549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over48c299.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1442931%9 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-34.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Under52c295.71$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.6923348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over44c275.2$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.094,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over49c269.72$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.391,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under52c254.45$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.3958450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under52c238$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.263,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Over45c224$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.815543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.