NBA · resolved market
Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab96a18f5f6ec62b1a90b5a6703e67b1e240486fdfdd1bb2211af3da9e3c3a57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c26…d3d0backed Yes | 1c | 1,336$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…668cbacked Yes | 30c | 926.93$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 900$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 70c | 704.09$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.93 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 65c | 307.22$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.17 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 6c | 262$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 71c | 240$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Yes | 34c | 217.47$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…6006backed Yes | 34c | 212.79$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4a…d3e3backed Yes | 31c | 210.16$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 66c | 130$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 71c | 93$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed No | 69c | 66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae1d…72eebacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 37cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed No | 66c | 46.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 92 | 67.4%62 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 37c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…c1d3backed No | 63c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 227 | 74.4%169 W · 58 L | +22.5wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…8ee7backed No | 67c | 40.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed No | 77c | 31.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 6.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Celtics won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Celtics won
- Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Cason Wallace: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Celtics vs. ThunderThunder won
- Celtics vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Under won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.