NBA · resolved market

Spread: Thunder (-5.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8ef3af4ed6592c62280225b1b0db6bb3f33a1e6db7f34aed4e5922eaca30c31

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Celticsof Thunder, Celtics
Resolved: Mar 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $141,947

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,947 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf668…5c69backed Thunder	57c	47,278$26,821 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,821.34	363	59.8%217 W · 146 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd36…6ec9backed Thunder	56c	22,000$12,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,319.99	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics	53c	12,663$6,684 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,979.03	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Celtics	43c	9,700$4,193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,507.4	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Thunder	52c	8,669$4,508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,507.87	76	38.2%29 W · 47 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3637…5e99backed Thunder	56c	7,808$4,372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,372.48	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Celtics	43c	7,226$3,127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,098.99	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics	43c	6,345$2,730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,615.66	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Thunder	40c	5,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	77	59.7%46 W · 31 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Celtics	46c	4,362$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,362.06	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	-4.4wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Thunder	56c	3,572$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	81	54.3%44 W · 37 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Thunder	57c	2,885$1,644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,644.44	116	53.4%62 W · 54 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05c4…a4f2backed Thunder	56c	2,757$1,541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,541.11	120	45%54 W · 66 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics	43c	2,410$1,036 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,374.06	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Celtics	44c	1,971$867 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,103.54	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Celtics	43c	1,752$753 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$998.64	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Celtics	43c	1,704$733 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$971.19	226	43.8%99 W · 127 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Thunder	56c	1,534$859 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$859.39	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Celtics	42c	1,317$557 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$759.27	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Celtics	44c	1,183$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$662.73	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Celtics	43c	1,006$432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$573.15	151	47%71 W · 80 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Thunder	56c	970$543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$543.2	293	47.4%139 W · 154 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Celtics	48c	886.19$428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$458.31	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Celtics	40c	844.08$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$504.57	268	39.2%105 W · 163 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder	56c	613.48$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.07	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Celtics	44c	600$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336	493	45.2%223 W · 270 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Celtics	44c	584$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.04	451	51.4%232 W · 219 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Celtics	42c	535.71$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.71	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Thunder	57c	526.42$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	277	46.6%129 W · 148 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5440…c640backed Thunder	59c	510$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.3	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-5.0wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Thunder	60c	502.69$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.69	333	60.4%201 W · 132 L	+17.6wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86b0…a9e6backed Thunder	57c	494.82$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.23	74	39.2%29 W · 45 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-20%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Celtics	43c	467.56$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.6	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0707…310abacked Celtics	43c	461.5$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.06	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Thunder	55c	455.21$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	235	50.2%118 W · 117 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0020…4610backed Thunder	55c	449.85$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.42	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Celtics	45c	444.42$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.62	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Thunder	41c	405.78$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.84	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Celtics	47c	377.32$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.63	877	44.7%392 W · 485 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Thunder	56c	375.75$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.42	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Celtics	43c	369.77$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.77	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Celtics	43c	329.65$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.9	456	46.7%213 W · 243 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Celtics	43c	302.33$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.33	874	53.3%466 W · 408 L	+19.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Celtics	40c	299.99$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180	354	44.6%158 W · 196 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Thunder	57c	263.62$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	170	46.5%79 W · 91 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Celtics	43c	261.43$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.91	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Thunder	55c	255.01$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	722	50.6%365 W · 357 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Celtics	42c	250$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd448…f700backed Celtics	61c	246.71$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.72	109	53.2%58 W · 51 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Celtics	43c	244.25$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.65	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Thunder	43c	235.15$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.1	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Celtics	44c	200$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Celtics	43c	200$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed Thunder	46c	193$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.5	154	46.8%72 W · 82 L	-12.0wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Celtics	67c	192.69$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.69	311	51.1%159 W · 152 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Thunder	56c	178.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd590…5eeebacked Thunder	58c	172.43$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Thunder	47c	170.21$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9c…e966backed Thunder	58c	167.48$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.14	145	47.6%69 W · 76 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Celtics	43c	165$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.12	565	47.8%270 W · 295 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Thunder	55c	164.36$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.17	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Celtics	43c	163$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.91	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Thunder	60c	162.39$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.27	207	62.3%129 W · 78 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Celtics	45c	155.46$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.66	584	50.2%293 W · 291 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics	53c	144.12$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.78	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Celtics	60c	114.89$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.96	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Celtics	45c	113$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.15	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Thunder	55c	109.09$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	332	46.1%153 W · 179 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Celtics	45c	104.3$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.47	301	51.8%156 W · 145 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Thunder	56c	100$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	375	49.6%186 W · 189 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Thunder	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Celtics	44c	98.08$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.92	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaec…eaafbacked Thunder	55c	90.98$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	293	48.5%142 W · 151 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Thunder	56c	89.45$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	109	55%60 W · 49 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Thunder	56c	89.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	610	56.1%342 W · 268 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Celtics	43c	85.15$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.56	609	45.8%279 W · 330 L	-17.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd493…d21abacked Celtics	45c	79.04$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.55	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d2…22fbbacked Thunder	64c	78.13$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	113	48.7%55 W · 58 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Thunder	58c	74.41$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.16	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Celtics	43c	69.28$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.49	509	48.5%247 W · 262 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Celtics	52c	68.31$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.79	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Celtics	40c	68.2$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.99	558	46.8%261 W · 297 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Celtics	45c	66.67$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.71	256	55.5%142 W · 114 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked Celtics	44c	65.16$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.68	157	52.2%82 W · 75 L	+5.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Celtics	44c	60.57$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.95	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95bb…213abacked Thunder	58c	60.03$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.8	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-3.9wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2841…3c5abacked Celtics	43c	60$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.2	213	49.3%105 W · 108 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Celtics	43c	57.06$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.52	203	52.2%106 W · 97 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Celtics	43c	54.21$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.9	69	50.7%35 W · 34 L	+5.3wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3bbf…f4e6backed Celtics	78c	53$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.66	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd18b…876dbacked Thunder	67c	52.22$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	113	56.6%64 W · 49 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Celtics	43c	50.59$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.84	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5886…b8ffbacked Thunder	58c	50$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	-8.0wins	-0.17per pick	52cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Celtics	47c	49.5$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.01	296	45.6%135 W · 161 L	-12.3wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x434d…fba4backed Celtics	43c	49.37$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.07	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Celtics	43c	47$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.79	327	47.4%155 W · 172 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Celtics	45c	44.54$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.54	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Thunder	48c	39.67$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.04	100	50%50 W · 50 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Celtics	47c	36.25$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.32	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Thunder	34c	32.93$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.28	487	39.8%194 W · 293 L	-21.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Thunder (-5.5)this page
1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Celtics won
1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Celtics won
Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Cason Wallace: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Celtics vs. ThunderThunder won
Celtics vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
Celtics vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
Celtics vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Under won
Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Under won
Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Under won
Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Under won
Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Derrick White: Points O/U 16.5No won
Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 19.5No won
Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 14.5No won
Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5Yes won
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Celtics won
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Celtics won
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Celtics won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Thunder (-5.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event