TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5886…b8ff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT4634.8%16 W · 30 L-8.0wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-37.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
NBA — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.61
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19.07
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.37
Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.95
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.61
Spread: Pelicans (-11.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+119%+$17.64
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.21
76ers vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.71
Spread: Hornets (-16.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$30.56
Spread: Thunder (-21.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+66%+$19.13
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick54cpaid-50.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-11.5)backed Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.46
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-12.5)backed Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.42
Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-3.5)backed Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.7
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-2.5)backed VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$19.06
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.7
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppersbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.73
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Southern Jaguarsbacked Southern Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.78
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. Norfolk State Spartansbacked Norfolk State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.84
UCF Knights vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.97
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Utah State Aggiesbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.72
Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-5.5)backed George Washington Revolutionaries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.77
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.12
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.17
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.72
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.97
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.23
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.95
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$25.87
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$41.26
Blackhawks vs. Sharksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.89
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Devils vs. Rangersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.53
Predators vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Panthers vs. Krakenbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Oilers vs. Bluesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Kings vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$29.1
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$25.1
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+203%+$43.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$34.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$21.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.