TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$127,708
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,026

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,708 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ae1…9fadbacked Over43c108,758$46,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,576.886943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under57c81,762$46,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,058.311,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under57c7,066$4,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,012.72,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under58c6,380$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,680.51,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under57c4,067$2,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,744.945,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under57c3,430$1,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.026,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under56c2,022$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.13158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over42c2,000$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.5667250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under57c1,874$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.867849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under57c1,820$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.391,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under58c1,401$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.9856851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under58c1,157$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.761,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over27c1,057$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.5510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under58c727.71$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.731,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under57c617.7$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.796440.6%26 W · 38 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5a8…95b7backed Under72c543.77$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.412864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under58c362.62$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.271,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Over44c263.56$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9718151.4%93 W · 88 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1639948.1%192 W · 207 L-1.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed Under70c261$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Under57c212.31$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.717354.8%40 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under55c203.74$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6831039%121 W · 189 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Under75c202.06$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5813256.1%74 W · 58 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Under58c194.96$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8822851.3%117 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over20c191.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0965050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under57c182.4$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5318649.5%92 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed Under67c138.59$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2451756.5%292 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d08…9b65backed Under73c121.18$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.641233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-40.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c5c…e316backed Over34c120$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4113240.2%53 W · 79 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under57c104$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7223248.7%113 W · 119 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under58c103.17$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.312761.4%78 W · 49 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4254146.8%253 W · 288 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Under59c93.27$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.669044.4%40 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Under59c91.09$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.354551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Under58c90.13$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.172548%12 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under75c84.66$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.85,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed Under58c83.36$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.65844.8%26 W · 32 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9985…9b14backed Under58c83.08$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.781752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Under76c79.46$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1212654%68 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over20c78.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.871,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under58c75.66$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.812,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ed…e098backed Under70c74.61$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over43c72.44$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1515351.6%79 W · 74 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under57c66.73$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.747745.7%218 W · 259 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a5…bedabacked Under72c65.3$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.561656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x083e…81a1backed Over33c64.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.28633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over31c62.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4466749.3%329 W · 338 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under58c62.48$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.292867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under59c58.58$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0250949.5%252 W · 257 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Under68c58.41$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.943756.8%21 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under57c58$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0425249.6%125 W · 127 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x347d…098abacked Under69c57.71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under58c55.58$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.163,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.513560%81 W · 54 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd023…fa38backed Over27c44.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.15850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Over44c43.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3319248.4%93 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bbd…98f2backed Over42c43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0618751.3%96 W · 91 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5886…b8ffbacked Under59c41.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.951258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Under59c40.77$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7210356.3%58 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under67c39.8$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.136451.6%33 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…4edcbacked Under59c39.02$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8957…2a87backed Under58c37.35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.65666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Under57c36.32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6226151%133 W · 128 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc55d…405abacked Under59c33.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.564959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under57c31.66$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6135240.3%142 W · 210 L-23.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under56c31.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6478052.2%407 W · 373 L+22.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1970…e980backed Under56c30.16$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.272466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+46.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under60c29.72$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.871,36754.3%742 W · 625 L+16.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19b…4db7backed Under59c29.55$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.12977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over42c29.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3861948.6%301 W · 318 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x665e…7291backed Under57c25.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.021546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Under59c24.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1710542.9%45 W · 60 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc51c…a913backed Under59c24.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.172650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…40e2backed Under72c24.48$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.85683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+45.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4547…ac9bbacked Under57c24.36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf05e…180bbacked Over44c22.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.123540%14 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52cb…4007backed Under56c21.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.684740.4%19 W · 28 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2af7…37e2backed Under56c20.36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.963033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.2wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Under62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.61855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Under58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.423750.6%120 W · 117 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x648d…0ebdbacked Under74c19.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1912864.1%82 W · 46 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c86…456bbacked Under59c19.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1311854.2%64 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d6…10d9backed Under57c19.48$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3835547.3%168 W · 187 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0b0…b342backed Under77c19.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under57c18.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1632348.9%158 W · 165 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6d…ccf4backed Under58c18.77$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.893100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.