TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc51c…a913

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT3650%18 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.12
Spread: Magic (-6.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.71
Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.83
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.43
Spread: Warriors (-15.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.23
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
Bucks vs. Nets: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.04
Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.55
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.36
76ers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.71
76ers vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.13
76ers vs. Spursbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
76ers vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.38
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+106.8%+$15.55
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.13
Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$15.57
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.94
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.42
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Corentin Moutet vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.46
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Jelena Ostapenko vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.55
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.19
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Gabriela Ruse vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$24.58
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Zizou Bergsbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$36.97
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.43
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Karolina Pliskova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Julia Grabher vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$7.92
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Monza: Luca Nardi vs Valentin Royerbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$9.71
Monza: Martin Landaluce vs Federico Arnaboldibacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.42
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Alexander Bublikbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Marin Cilic vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.02
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Sloane Stephens vs Tatjana Mariabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Katie Boulter vs Gabriela Rusebacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.67
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.42
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniel Altmaier vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.42
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.31
Madrid: Francesca Jones vs Elizabeth Mandlikbacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.26
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.24
Copa Colsanitas: Marie Bouzkova vs Panna Udvardybacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.65
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.41
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$14.4
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.38
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.68
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.59
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.04
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.21
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.17
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.1%+$15.71
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.86
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.01
Houston Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.33
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.09
Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$21.54
Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.27
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$13.02
Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Kraken vs. Jets: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.01
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.