TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,954
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,704

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,954 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c30,232$14,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,506.0465050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under53c29,975$16,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,948.6955053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c17,313$8,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,755.061,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Over52c15,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,80015148.3%73 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c11,634$5,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5331,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over48c9,737$4,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,673.6492054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under48c9,688$4,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,037.7627254.4%148 W · 124 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x661f…098abacked Under49c4,898$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,497.953040%12 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over51c4,612$2,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,352.286,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under48c4,360$2,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,266.9924651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over51c3,146$1,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592.195,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44061947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over43c2,760$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.092,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under52c1,882$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.051,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Over49c974.24$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.2314340.6%58 W · 85 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Under51c778.02$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.233324.2%8 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over52c745.94$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.6565549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over47c730.54$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.8561352.5%322 W · 291 L+29.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed Over32c708.22$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.636653%35 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over48c695.47$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.8221748.4%105 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over41c694.74$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.619,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ad…45f9backed Over53c677.9$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.2911741.9%49 W · 68 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c524.56$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.946,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under47c412$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.366451.6%33 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69c2…40cfbacked Over50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19418239.6%72 W · 110 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd7…eac9backed Under48c387.52$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.512962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under45c351.28$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.694,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under52c349.29$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.7719452.6%102 W · 92 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under43c345.73$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.434,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under51c303.35$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.641,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f0…b7b1backed Over54c301.44$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.781060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14729547.1%139 W · 156 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over49c290.82$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.516644.6%74 W · 92 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Over53c280.6$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6913857.2%79 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac4…a601backed Over54c270.2$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.865341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over51c265.37$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.432,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Over48c244.08$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1613549.6%67 W · 68 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under52c242.8$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.544548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under52c242.8$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.545345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over41c215.82$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7623248.7%113 W · 119 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over38c204.73$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.848339.8%192 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62db…d58ebacked Over48c203.95$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.92733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1382…7820backed Over49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.942748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3735…3d9dbacked Over48c193.76$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934548.9%22 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over23c161.73$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.21,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcede…6736backed Over49c154.31$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.611566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+39.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x483a…4fd0backed Over49c138.49$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.868051.3%41 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over49c131.78$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.931,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over51c130.05$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2228350.2%142 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over50c124.66$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.615,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Over49c118.7$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1622450.4%113 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c113.4$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013560%81 W · 54 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under48c96.88$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.381,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Over48c96.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.56070%42 W · 18 L+8.6wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+27.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdfa5…01b3backed Under53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.091060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over57c88.73$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5813256.1%74 W · 58 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under47c78.69$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.736649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under52c73.98$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5133547.5%159 W · 176 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under48c70.64$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7339553.7%212 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under57c67.5$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0725452%132 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d08…9b65backed Over48c60.15$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.071233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-40.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed Over52c59.52$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.951136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x59dd…7cffbacked Over49c59.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.081752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over52c58.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2618649.5%92 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over48c57.64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6730750.2%154 W · 153 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa361…3ea7backed Over35c56.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.94425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under52c56.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8979543%342 W · 453 L-3.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Over52c55.15$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6826151%133 W · 128 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over51c51.59$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4913054.6%71 W · 59 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4167…f99abacked Under48c48.44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.192653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c81…5d38backed Under59c44.32$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over50c44.28$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.056440.6%26 W · 38 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under51c43.34$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.247650%38 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under52c42.59$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4431046.5%144 W · 166 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c54…0d0dbacked Over56c41.86$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.39425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73f0…7eedbacked Over48c40.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5422backed Over48c40.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.385851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Under48c40.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9919248.4%93 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9221…9419backed Under48c37.84$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.688751.7%45 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over52c36.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3821847.7%104 W · 114 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bbd…98f2backed Under48c36.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1418751.3%96 W · 91 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52cb…4007backed Over52c36.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.064740.4%19 W · 28 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9fdd…a037backed Under53c34.02$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.882568%17 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+25.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over36c32.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7913439.6%53 W · 81 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under65c30.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5846557.2%266 W · 199 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Over52c28.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9855464.1%355 W · 199 L+63.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over53c28.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9415351.6%79 W · 74 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Over48c27.61$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.256946.4%32 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Over53c27.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5810542.9%45 W · 60 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x92c8…0c5bbacked Under48c24.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.863100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+83.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under67c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.921,36754.3%742 W · 625 L+16.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23a5…f850backed Under48c22.89$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd35e…a1e8backed Under52c22.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.934953.1%26 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed Over49c22.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.055844.8%26 W · 32 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x648d…0ebdbacked Under53c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3412864.1%82 W · 46 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf06…31d7backed Under52c21.79$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc51c…a913backed Over53c19.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.542650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.