TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Toronto Blue Jays
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,664
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,317

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,664 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x21d4…84bdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers49c4,728$2,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,411.183956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Los Angeles Dodgers46c3,212$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,734.6336649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Toronto Blue Jays54c3,118$1,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,683.6824651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Dodgers45c2,980$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,630.255,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd1…8663backed Toronto Blue Jays51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Los Angeles Dodgers45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1001,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Toronto Blue Jays55c1,946$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.32,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers46c1,413$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.025950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Toronto Blue Jays51c1,267$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.421,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Toronto Blue Jays52c1,225$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.114047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77d4…3983backed Los Angeles Dodgers46c1,100$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.991656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Toronto Blue Jays55c1,061$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.814156%79 W · 62 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Toronto Blue Jays35c999.98$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.999021.1%19 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Toronto Blue Jays43c916.39$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.492,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Los Angeles Dodgers46c870.84$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.2516644.6%74 W · 92 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Dodgers65c545.94$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.746,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays54c538.64$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.866,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Toronto Blue Jays17c491.82$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.434,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers69c460.6$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.0912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays39c443.68$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.999,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Toronto Blue Jays52c402.46$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.8867849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Toronto Blue Jays52c298.83$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.393855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Toronto Blue Jays53c297.63$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.526150.8%31 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Los Angeles Dodgers45c294.69$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.0847350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Los Angeles Dodgers47c250.78$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.672,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d1…aa33backed Los Angeles Dodgers43c224.6$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.022653.8%14 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+36.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Toronto Blue Jays55c219.9$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9411450.9%58 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers46c193.52$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.512549.6%62 W · 63 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Toronto Blue Jays42c193.04$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.086451.6%33 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers66c186.57$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.775,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea4b…dedebacked Toronto Blue Jays55c180.01$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Los Angeles Dodgers46c169.16$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0118649.5%92 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d14…ff3ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers46c168.28$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8712845.3%58 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Toronto Blue Jays38c163.44$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8114328.7%41 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Toronto Blue Jays55c141.53$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8466551.1%340 W · 325 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Toronto Blue Jays43c135$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.681,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers46c126.21$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1518151.4%93 W · 88 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Los Angeles Dodgers41c105.55$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0966749.3%329 W · 338 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65fc…c072backed Los Angeles Dodgers48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.481040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Los Angeles Dodgers46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5413560%81 W · 54 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers45c99.98$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9922851.3%117 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7810…b011backed Los Angeles Dodgers48c99.26$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.626149.2%30 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8d8…66a7backed Toronto Blue Jays55c97.3$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Toronto Blue Jays53c94.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0532348.9%158 W · 165 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x819b…93d3backed Los Angeles Dodgers48c79.04$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Toronto Blue Jays55c77.84$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8131250%156 W · 156 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Los Angeles Dodgers45c71.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5970744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Toronto Blue Jays29c70.85$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.551,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Toronto Blue Jays55c69.25$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0947848.5%232 W · 246 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x387b…fd56backed Toronto Blue Jays52c63.41$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.971741.2%7 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Los Angeles Dodgers41c61.5$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9848339.8%192 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd41…5afebacked Los Angeles Dodgers46c56.79$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.671154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab33…cf5dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers46c52.59$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.43336.4%12 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Toronto Blue Jays34c50.36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2984122.7%191 W · 650 L-81.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Los Angeles Dodgers45c42.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6494549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Toronto Blue Jays51c38.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.681,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x623a…5144backed Toronto Blue Jays52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.424235.7%15 W · 27 L-7.2wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-30.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x68cc…e8c8backed Toronto Blue Jays52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4232647.9%156 W · 170 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba0d…dd6bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers45c35.91$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.75475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+64.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50fd…ee77backed Toronto Blue Jays55c35.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4633051.8%171 W · 159 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58f2…ce07backed Toronto Blue Jays55c35.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Toronto Blue Jays29c35.29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.234731.9%15 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers61c34.57$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4816261.1%99 W · 63 L+14.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Toronto Blue Jays56c34.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2833547.5%159 W · 176 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9221…9419backed Toronto Blue Jays55c33.17$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.248751.7%45 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Toronto Blue Jays54c33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8225249.6%125 W · 127 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x921f…263cbacked Toronto Blue Jays61c32.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.781181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e5a…59b9backed Los Angeles Dodgers46c31.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.048943.8%39 W · 50 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.925452%132 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Toronto Blue Jays51c29.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4321847.7%104 W · 114 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Dodgers65c27.98$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.794,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Toronto Blue Jays53c27.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5810542.9%45 W · 60 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Toronto Blue Jays54c27.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.652,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Toronto Blue Jays54c26.37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3487352.7%460 W · 413 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07c9…9f5bbacked Toronto Blue Jays53c25.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6131650.6%160 W · 156 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Toronto Blue Jays55c24.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6289950.6%455 W · 444 L-24.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd6f…bad3backed Toronto Blue Jays54c23.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.643537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc8e…01f5backed Los Angeles Dodgers47c23.13$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.15666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Toronto Blue Jays69c21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4955464.1%355 W · 199 L+63.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Toronto Blue Jays54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.839850.3%200 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.