MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x109b9114bdaa72efc78d0b909406ba2140e7a1bf6f612279b31dc6833e9d9629
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 2,998$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.67 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 2,963$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.97 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 1,253$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.4 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 859.88$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.99 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 771.98$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.03 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 499.24$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.78 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 345.78$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.13 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 22c | 296.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 79c | 252.47$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 22c | 165.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.14 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 148.3$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.17 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b6…f8e2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 59.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 45.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 40.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 34.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 162 | 61.1%99 W · 63 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue JaysLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.