NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Jets: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce1023f43805e32c701b1ffb2752b29406484b3adde2e16d336db4dc52c4a5dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 48c | 29,713$14,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,262.35 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 52c | 14,000$7,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,720 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 48c | 6,624$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.51 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 5,560$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.63 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 52c | 4,187$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.76 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 47c | 3,015$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.27 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 52c | 2,025$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.04 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 1,592$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.98 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 2c | 1,587$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Over | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.43 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 52c | 1,475$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Over | 51c | 921.18$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.38 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 52c | 546.63$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.38 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 52c | 546.63$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.38 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 52c | 546.63$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.38 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 52c | 546.63$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.38 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 52c | 546.63$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.38 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 52c | 546.63$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.38 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Over | 52c | 437.31$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.91 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 58c | 431.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Over | 52c | 384.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.61 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 52c | 338.18$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.43 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 51.1%113 W · 108 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 50c | 188.04$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.02 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5689…2b99backed Over | 52c | 153$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 52c | 123.89$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.47 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…542fbacked Over | 51c | 121.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Over | 63c | 105$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 191 | 53.4%102 W · 89 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…ea91backed Under | 49c | 91.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Over | 52c | 82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 17c | 78.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 66c | 76.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked Over | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 48c | 65.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Over | 51c | 58.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 52c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Over | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Under | 48c | 45.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Over | 52c | 45.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Under | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 49c | 39.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 36c | 39.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 49c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 52c | 34.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 52c | 32.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…bad3backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Over | 52c | 28.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…f2c6backed Over | 70c | 28.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 52c | 25.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Over | 52c | 24.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa76d…6a8ebacked Over | 53c | 24.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Over | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9381…5888backed Over | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51c…a913backed Over | 52c | 21.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Over | 52c | 21.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb5…6a88backed Over | 52c | 20.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 71c | 15.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Jets: O/U 5.5this page
- Kraken vs. JetsJets won
- Kraken vs. Jets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kraken vs. Jets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)Jets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.