TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5689…2b99

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Valorant, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+98.5%+$24.56
76ers vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.24
76ers vs. Spursbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.19
76ers vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.28
Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$31.35
Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$21.99
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$42.8
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+198.4%+$33.91
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+185%+$35.06
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+101%+$20.47
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$25.35
Magic vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.86
Raptors vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.96
Bulls vs. Knicksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.03
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.34
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.62
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$18.74
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.08
Cavaliers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.1
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.11
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.03
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
All 22 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+113.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+162.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+31.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+244.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+169.1%+$37.7
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+320.6%+$46.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Renato Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$22.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Tigre vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tromsø IL vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.