TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,810
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,103

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,810 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Under56c39,552$22,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,402.9150153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over44c13,813$6,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,077.691,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed Under58c8,143$4,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,439.5351756.5%292 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over44c3,461$1,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,523.461,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over44c3,461$1,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,523.4634452.6%181 W · 163 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over44c3,453$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.41,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over44c3,453$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.41,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over43c3,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2805,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over44c2,196$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.3815753.5%84 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over29c2,017$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.872,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over42c1,718$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.921,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over42c1,387$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.3567849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under57c1,255$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.861,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over44c1,128$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.7719452.6%102 W · 92 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over44c1,106$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.2539351.9%204 W · 189 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Over44c878.48$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.535848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under56c800$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3526,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Over44c658.89$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.918045%36 W · 44 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over44c650.65$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.2945246.2%209 W · 243 L-18.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over44c556.9$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.6615847.5%75 W · 83 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over44c549.09$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.61,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over44c549.09$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.628646.2%132 W · 154 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Over42c459.63$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.045950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over42c459.62$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.046451.6%33 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over44c439.27$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.2851555.7%287 W · 228 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over44c439.27$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.2813343.6%58 W · 75 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over42c401.92$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.831,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over33c379.45$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.139,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over28c314.35$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.766,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c295.78$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.881,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over20c284.85$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.859725.8%25 W · 72 L-11.2wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb743…c116backed Under70c281.98$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.584864.6%31 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over44c247.4$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.861,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over43c246.12$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8321847.7%104 W · 114 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over44c227.44$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.794648.9%463 W · 483 L+4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over44c227.44$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.724348.1%117 W · 126 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over42c226.32$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6418345.4%83 W · 100 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Over44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.647354.8%40 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over36c219.06$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.585,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked Under57c213.35$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7419951.8%103 W · 96 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over45c173.42$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.694,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Under57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4918151.4%93 W · 88 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over44c168.15$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9935650.6%180 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over44c130.95$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6223248.7%113 W · 119 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over45c117.63$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3837747.2%178 W · 199 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over43c113.89$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.972,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over44c109.82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3218353.6%98 W · 85 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5689…2b99backed Over44c108.2$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.61425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4213560%81 W · 54 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3636…ab7cbacked Under67c98.02$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.355962.7%37 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Over44c87.85$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6623851.3%122 W · 116 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Over44c79.57$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0121153.6%113 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over33c77.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3825452%132 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Over43c76.97$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.155053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over43c72.88$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3418649.5%92 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf137…9341backed Over21c64.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.494542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over44c64.2$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2531046.5%144 W · 166 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Over43c58.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1226151%133 W · 128 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over42c57.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4213054.6%71 W · 59 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ece…068abacked Over42c56.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.932650%13 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over44c54.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1629450.7%149 W · 145 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba2…f46bbacked Over44c54.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.161668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over44c54.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.169254.3%50 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under74c48.14$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.451,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Over44c46.87$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.628764.4%56 W · 31 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a27…2fdcbacked Under57c43.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5711649.1%57 W · 59 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under72c42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7649942.9%214 W · 285 L-31.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under69c40.26$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.481,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x442e…a738backed Under57c37.7$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.218153.1%43 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over44c37.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.343,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Under57c35.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1714245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x967e…2fb6backed Over47c33.94$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.952638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71fc…426dbacked Over44c31.41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.82757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ccb…604ebacked Over42c29.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.572181%17 W · 4 L+4.7wins+0.22per pick59cpaid+36.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Over42c29.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.578847.7%42 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over42c29.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.579255.4%51 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8b9…46e4backed Over42c29.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.572352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+44.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e96…f2debacked Over44c29.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.163935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over42c29.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4211245.5%51 W · 61 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over46c26.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0413439.6%53 W · 81 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Under57c26.17$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2565359.6%389 W · 264 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17a3…8cb3backed Over43c24.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.696355.6%35 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under68c19.78$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3926854.1%145 W · 123 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.