MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca0953c3ad8bf94a532944940fe6da7e4f7ebf9290fd98068fe8129e8668824a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Atlanta Braves, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6498…8910backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 11,833$7,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,191.01 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 3,913$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.13 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 2,356$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.1 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 1,682$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.78 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 1,433$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.25 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 641.93$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.64 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Atlanta Braves | 14c | 600.18$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.53 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 580.73$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.35 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 320.05$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.63 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 291.69$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.01 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 290.65$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.39 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 290.65$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.39 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 290.65$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.39 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 290.65$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.39 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 290.65$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.39 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 290.65$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.39 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Atlanta Braves | 33c | 255.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.31 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 78c | 216.33$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 203.77$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.77 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…6a33backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 198.03$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.07 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 194.65$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.49 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 168.15$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.67 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 157.49$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 145.59$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 138.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.26 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 134$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 107.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…b476backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 72.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 61.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 29c | 55.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 48.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 46.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 40.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 39.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 32.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 27.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 21.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…78fbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 19.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-4.5)Atlanta Braves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.