TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ursaof MINLATE, Ursa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,824
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,962

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,824 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked MINLATE42c7,996$3,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,351.843,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d82…3847backed MINLATE28c5,718$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed MINLATE29c5,265$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.149646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Ursa48c5,261$2,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,757.357358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MINLATE50c4,802$2,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,388.697,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MINLATE33c4,695$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.96,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Ursa72c3,316$2,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.375,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Ursa74c3,255$2,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.7623848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed Ursa50c2,991$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.6412752%66 W · 61 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed MINLATE34c2,914$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.3239248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Ursa61c2,872$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.375,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Ursa66c2,733$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93184454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f5e…58efbacked MINLATE26c2,395$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.783534.3%12 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked Ursa55c2,100$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.9975056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Ursa53c2,002$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.2121536.3%78 W · 137 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0d8…8eafbacked Ursa63c1,946$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.354768.1%32 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Ursa70c1,939$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.2984958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Ursa66c1,822$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.5446843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked MINLATE34c1,754$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.21,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1234…c1bbbacked MINLATE34c1,691$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.224721.3%10 W · 37 L-8.1wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-44.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed MINLATE1c1,411$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.111030%0 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MINLATE40c1,356$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.255,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked MINLATE33c1,214$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.252,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Ursa78c1,202$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.864,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43ff…a491backed Ursa74c1,200$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3159554.7%52 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Ursa73c1,087$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.5218550.8%94 W · 91 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Ursa70c974.25$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.022,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed MINLATE27c950$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.55,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked MINLATE32c927.76$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.4629235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed MINLATE54c895.16$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.2921941.1%90 W · 129 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed MINLATE29c837.21$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.1417847.2%84 W · 94 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaeb…a226backed Ursa72c815.84$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.573100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed MINLATE39c769.43$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.9257641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed MINLATE26c762.93$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.7346243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Ursa69c708.91$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.7910426%27 W · 77 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-53.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Ursa66c679.64$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.197034.3%24 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked MINLATE50c661.65$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.812,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed MINLATE29c653.26$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.517247.7%82 W · 90 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75ab…eb07backed MINLATE50c641.69$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.845550.9%28 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked MINLATE27c605.48$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.2722838.6%88 W · 140 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked MINLATE8c573.75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.031,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Ursa54c559.68$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.3736253.3%193 W · 169 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9901…e9b4backed MINLATE24c522.17$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.634348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed MINLATE22c522.03$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.011,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Ursa61c519.25$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.1723249.1%114 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed MINLATE46c518.56$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.7445465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa5…e615backed Ursa69c517.44$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.413568.6%24 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed MINLATE45c516.36$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.3652951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bd7…55f5backed MINLATE26c499.85$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.96850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked MINLATE52c489.97$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.9829154%157 W · 134 L+17.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Ursa51c488.04$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.733,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed MINLATE29c454.71$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9439245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Ursa76c407.46$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.466446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked MINLATE23c404.47$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.632,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Ursa67c400$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13277146%355 W · 416 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed MINLATE26c391.85$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7939239.8%156 W · 236 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed MINLATE41c389.14$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.42,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed MINLATE50c382$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.51,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Ursa63c341.06$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.322,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed MINLATE37c332.76$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.1991743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Ursa69c299.99$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e65…694fbacked MINLATE35c298.04$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.353438.2%13 W · 21 L-6.0wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-38.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9541…3b71backed MINLATE61c291.92$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.072458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Ursa73c290.3$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3864854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8945…640bbacked MINLATE32c276.59$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8426257.6%151 W · 111 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Ursa66c270.98$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0411651.7%60 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed MINLATE27c269.98$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8917758.2%103 W · 74 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7c0…f389backed MINLATE34c240.1$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.636333.3%21 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked MINLATE26c212.14$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.161,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Ursa56c209$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1810949.5%54 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8f…870ebacked MINLATE24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022542.7%96 W · 129 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed MINLATE29c201.38$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.438032.5%26 W · 54 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Ursa72c197.22$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.225347.2%25 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36a9…90c6backed MINLATE29c195.61$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.73650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed MINLATE12c192.88$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9424457%139 W · 105 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked Ursa61c189.28$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7325753.7%138 W · 119 L-20.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x70ef…e25dbacked MINLATE45c187.09$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6513051.5%67 W · 63 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0832…9182backed Ursa77c181.17$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.879257.6%53 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Ursa66c178.34$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6461154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed MINLATE33c174.76$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.084,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Ursa53c167.54$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.848948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked MINLATE27c166.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.436647%31 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed MINLATE26c162.44$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.981,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed MINLATE17c154.26$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.861,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked MINLATE32c150.29$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.71,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed MINLATE27c150$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.554032.4%175 W · 365 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d7…f131backed MINLATE29c149.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.533451.5%172 W · 162 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed Ursa70c149.64$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.594555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed MINLATE33c147.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.982,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked MINLATE32c147.45$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1832552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9b…3de2backed MINLATE30c143.7$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.118842%37 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf483…40e8backed Ursa70c141.24$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.371471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+25.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Ursa70c140.96$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7820462.7%128 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2409…215ebacked Ursa70c140.29$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0912746.5%59 W · 68 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed MINLATE35c137.29$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.054546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Ursa75c132.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9919653.1%104 W · 92 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x270f…eb5ebacked Ursa75c131.65$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.318058.8%47 W · 33 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed MINLATE28c131.11$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6776248.4%369 W · 393 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked MINLATE52c128.17$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1838858.2%226 W · 162 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed MINLATE34c127.52$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2129052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.