CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Ursa - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e1e34956bb9d581399f89953a9b2de22427c688f5a1625b83d59c2f563184d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MINLATEof MINLATE, Ursa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2924…0f31backed MINLATE | 49c | 5,281$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,714.87 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ursa | 21c | 2,793$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.67 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MINLATE | 73c | 1,504$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.73 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Ursa | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 103 | 0%0 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MINLATE | 47c | 1,367$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.53 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MINLATE | 50c | 983.09$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.18 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Ursa | 47c | 812.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.76 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MINLATE | 58c | 568.1$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.16 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…e615backed Ursa | 53c | 565.61$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.14 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e4…2a20backed Ursa | 60c | 546.56$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.94 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…0efcbacked MINLATE | 39c | 539.5$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.1 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5a…acc3backed Ursa | 61c | 410.17$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.2 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e0…ac15backed MINLATE | 38c | 404.38$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.71 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ursa | 51c | 396.53$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.46 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MINLATE | 33c | 276.91$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.85 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ursa | 13c | 262$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MINLATE | 26c | 223.57$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.44 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d1…272fbacked Ursa | 50c | 207.68$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.91 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed MINLATE | 53c | 184.85$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.7 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ursa | 45c | 148.22$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.29 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb4…9ed0backed MINLATE | 71c | 144.43$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed Ursa | 22c | 138$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Ursa | 31c | 134$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Ursa | 24c | 133$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed MINLATE | 77c | 128.19$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Ursa | 51c | 104$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Ursa | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed MINLATE | 59c | 97.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Ursa | 12c | 94.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6826…d188backed Ursa | 16c | 83.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed MINLATE | 22c | 64.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Ursa | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MINLATE | 42c | 46.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked MINLATE | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Ursa | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Ursa | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Ursa | 40c | 34.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 408 | 56.9%232 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed MINLATE | 54c | 30.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Ursa | 50c | 23.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Ursa | 54c | 23.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb047…3e20backed Ursa | 79c | 13.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Ursa - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group StageUrsa won
- Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Ursa - Map 2 WinnerUrsa won
- Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs MINLATE (+1.5)MINLATE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.