TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe524…0efc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Valorant, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 53 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.41
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$334.28
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca - Map 2 Winnerbacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.13
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Ursa - Map 1 Winnerbacked MINLATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$329.1
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.38
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Imperial Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Hashiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$259
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$265
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs OlyBet SB (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$205.2
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs MANA eSports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$205.8
Counter-Strike: OlyBet SB vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked OlyBet SB · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$292.8
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs TDK (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$115.2
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Favbet - Map 2 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$276
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerbacked HEROIC Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$186.2
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs FOKUS (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Bbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$299
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$198
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #18 Group Cbacked FC Famalicão Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$139.5
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$236
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Imperial - Map 2 Winnerbacked Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$89.1
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100%+$182.5
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Omega (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Group Dbacked ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$189.8
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ARCRED (BO3) - JB Pro League Season 2 Playoffsbacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+112.8%+$164.3
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Vasco Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vasco Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$198.4
All 25 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+83.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+300%+$429.75
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.8
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+49.3%+$110.55
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Dplus vs ONSIDE GAMING - Map 1 Winnerbacked ONSIDE GAMING · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$290.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.