Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0493d7cabb0662923dd5c7e456f9968dda4512157f29618ef703564a85984a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Over | 43c | 3,082$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.45 | 963 | 50.2%483 W · 480 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f0…6ca0backed Under | 59c | 1,729$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x950c…e503backed Under | 57c | 640$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…0efcbacked Over | 42c | 640$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 54c | 505$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.3 | 292 | 40.1%117 W · 175 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33e…c742backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Under | 58c | 381.03$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.03 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Over | 39c | 351.56$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.11 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 55c | 297.93$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.22 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Over | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 415 | 44.6%185 W · 230 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 57c | 77.45$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 39c | 65.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Under | 56c | 57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…25bdbacked Under | 60c | 56.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 255 | 43.5%111 W · 144 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 41c | 55.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5349…a09dbacked Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 131 | 61.1%80 W · 51 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…bcabbacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.7wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 1,244 | 39.7%494 W · 750 L | -69.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)ThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: LNG Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1ThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: LNG Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: LNG Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.