Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f6d6f85d3f3354ad5f379497b56bbdc864080e4528d05f533758d22c73b3670
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ThunderTalk Gamingof LNG Esports, ThunderTalk Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed LNG Esports | 55c | 8,032$4,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,432 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 6,777$3,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,676.02 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 3,932$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.27 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 66c | 3,362$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.96 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 2,675$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.1 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed LNG Esports | 50c | 2,401$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.31 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 2,089$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.84 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed LNG Esports | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked LNG Esports | 54c | 1,900$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed LNG Esports | 55c | 1,897$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.75 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked LNG Esports | 56c | 1,827$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.39 | 263 | 60.1%158 W · 105 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 1,240$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 105 | 21%22 W · 83 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 963.16$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.54 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…9c40backed LNG Esports | 66c | 950.44$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 49c | 887.98$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.87 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked LNG Esports | 39c | 829$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.51 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 813$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.28 | 858 | 36.2%311 W · 547 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed LNG Esports | 54c | 714.46$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.81 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed LNG Esports | 50c | 675$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.25 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 638.06$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.79 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 600.12$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.12 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed LNG Esports | 55c | 580.41$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.42 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…8f48backed LNG Esports | 54c | 560$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked LNG Esports | 57c | 526.84$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 402 | 37.8%152 W · 250 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…f05cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33e…c742backed LNG Esports | 56c | 482.96$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.46 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 427.88$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.82 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeba…9ff9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 49c | 394$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked LNG Esports | 54c | 368.89$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.83 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 45c | 285.62$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.62 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3c…5727backed LNG Esports | 50c | 200.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed LNG Esports | 51c | 197.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 194.33$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.82 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 193.51$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.17 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 191.94$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.74 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed LNG Esports | 55c | 189.09$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 528 | 48.9%258 W · 270 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7608…92e2backed LNG Esports | 56c | 175$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x432f…0b4cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 175$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +45%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0453…463bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 49c | 172.04$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.74 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 160$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed LNG Esports | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd89c…2d1fbacked LNG Esports | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…d6c6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 149.56$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.83 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7150…476bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 45c | 138$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed LNG Esports | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 596 | 47.7%284 W · 312 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 415 | 44.6%185 W · 230 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked LNG Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed LNG Esports | 54c | 82.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 82.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked LNG Esports | 57c | 80.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 254 | 66.5%169 W · 85 L | +22.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 65.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked LNG Esports | 55c | 63.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 135 | 41.5%56 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed LNG Esports | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed LNG Esports | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed LNG Esports | 56c | 57.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked LNG Esports | 48c | 51.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…3942backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…7d08backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed LNG Esports | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 317 | 50.8%161 W · 156 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed LNG Esports | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked LNG Esports | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: LNG Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1ThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: LNG Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: LNG Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.