Lol · resolved market
LoL: LNG Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa363762137e0875487f7ead01a656d3f0ac8d790cf7ea6f6c4674d40b472dbcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ThunderTalk Gamingof LNG Esports, ThunderTalk Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $565,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $592,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $565,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 503 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x644d…6cf8backed LNG Esports | 76c | 64,349$48,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,905.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed LNG Esports | 53c | 47,498$25,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,259.43 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 30,000$14,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,799.97 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 28,911$6,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,669.47 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 26,960$5,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,209.97 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked LNG Esports | 79c | 26,478$20,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,917.95 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 49c | 22,451$11,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,446.48 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…c667backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 74c | 18,535$13,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,840.4 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 26c | 16,413$4,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,077.73 | 354 | 48.6%172 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 16,240$3,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,991.82 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 7c | 15,329$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,256.41 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.21per pick | 27cpaid | +105%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed LNG Esports | 52c | 14,305$7,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,387 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked LNG Esports | 78c | 12,517$9,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,761.93 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 12,252$5,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,372.64 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…a879backed LNG Esports | 77c | 11,808$9,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,044.97 | 210 | 28.1%59 W · 151 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 10,233$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,186.72 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked LNG Esports | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 9,962$2,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,620.97 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab28…3ff0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 9,569$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,463.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 9,279$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,330.41 | 226 | 24.8%56 W · 170 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed LNG Esports | 58c | 8,580$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…9550backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 7,965$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,053.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8bf3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 7,890$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,233.1 | 151 | 53.6%81 W · 70 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed LNG Esports | 79c | 7,777$6,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,167.5 | 311 | 53.4%166 W · 145 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 7,738$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,113.1 | 148 | 35.1%52 W · 96 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 6,689$3,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,594.35 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 6,575$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,062.75 | 360 | 34.4%124 W · 236 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94d6…43babacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 5,678$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,315.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +176.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 40c | 5,381$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,212.63 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 5,376$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,082.96 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 5,158$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,023.16 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…57c7backed LNG Esports | 79c | 5,024$3,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,968.96 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked LNG Esports | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 227 | 57.3%130 W · 97 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed LNG Esports | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43af…4413backed LNG Esports | 79c | 4,800$3,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,791.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 25c | 4,361$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,267.67 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 3,500$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,664.98 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 3,464$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,736.56 | 447 | 51%228 W · 219 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ba…d205backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 3,143$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked LNG Esports | 80c | 3,125$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 3,000$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.99 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 2,943$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.24 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed LNG Esports | 53c | 2,815$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.91 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 2,573$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 2,570$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.7 | 105 | 21%22 W · 83 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8de4…67a8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 2,507$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.88 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…c3c6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 45c | 2,500$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 42c | 2,377$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.55 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe435…affbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 2,257$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 40c | 2,229$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.2 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked LNG Esports | 76c | 2,072$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.51 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…30d5backed LNG Esports | 53c | 1,877$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked LNG Esports | 54c | 1,846$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 42c | 1,830$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.76 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked LNG Esports | 63c | 1,738$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked LNG Esports | 55c | 1,693$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.5 | 384 | 62%238 W · 146 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 49c | 1,665$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.13 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 1,618$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.39 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 1,600$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 1,583$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.57 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 1,327$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.49 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed LNG Esports | 79c | 1,318$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.42 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed LNG Esports | 45c | 1,309$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.93 | 1,025 | 39.6%406 W · 619 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…f05cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 1,277$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.6 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…2eeebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 1,251$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed LNG Esports | 66c | 1,220$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.78 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked LNG Esports | 33c | 1,203$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.66 | 259 | 23.2%60 W · 199 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcad2…c9e4backed LNG Esports | 78c | 1,200$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.06 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked LNG Esports | 80c | 1,145$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.74 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…45c4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 1,089$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.15 | 510 | 44.9%229 W · 281 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked LNG Esports | 51c | 1,053$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.61 | 536 | 40.3%216 W · 320 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 1,019$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.82 | 438 | 37.9%166 W · 272 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 1,018$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.67 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed LNG Esports | 59c | 1,011$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 1,002$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.84 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked LNG Esports | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 176 | 10.2%18 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed LNG Esports | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LNG Esports | 39c | 990.66$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.92 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 985.71$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.85 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 49c | 925.85$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.85 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked LNG Esports | 78c | 924.72$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.28 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed LNG Esports | 55c | 913.47$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 39c | 910$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.4 | 950 | 41.6%395 W · 555 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked LNG Esports | 2c | 900$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 409 | 16.1%66 W · 343 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 884.42$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.16 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e6…24e6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 30c | 865.56$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9044…c2f5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed LNG Esports | 34c | 814.82$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.81 | 1,130 | 30%339 W · 791 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…5534backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 809.92$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked LNG Esports | 51c | 801.46$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.74 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 785.5$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.98 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked LNG Esports | 79c | 778.81$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.26 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…4237backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed LNG Esports | 66c | 759.18$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.75 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked LNG Esports | 78c | 755$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.9 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed LNG Esports | 80c | 749.1$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.28 | 608 | 55.8%339 W · 269 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 736.19$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.13 | 145 | 54.5%79 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…c6afbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 732.96$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: LNG Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1this page
- Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)ThunderTalk Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: LNG Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: LNG Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.