CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #18 Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe38c95cb149a5e3a89e397d78980e7080693d6710676227e3afb19e50de912c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HEROIC Academyof HEROIC Academy, FC Famalicão Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,417 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed HEROIC Academy | 65c | 1,039$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.59 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…93c6backed FC Famalicão Esports | 32c | 902$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183c…9bf6backed FC Famalicão Esports | 32c | 786$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FC Famalicão Esports | 30c | 589.96$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.99 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab4…5c79backed HEROIC Academy | 68c | 548$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e0…ac15backed FC Famalicão Esports | 31c | 519.99$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.2 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd77f…05a4backed HEROIC Academy | 69c | 495$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.55 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…a491backed HEROIC Academy | 68c | 476$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FC Famalicão Esports | 16c | 469.25$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.61 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…b543backed HEROIC Academy | 68c | 450$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…0efcbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 31c | 450$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed HEROIC Academy | 69c | 423.19$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.19 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed HEROIC Academy | 70c | 409$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.7 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed FC Famalicão Esports | 31c | 406.79$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.78 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…01b2backed HEROIC Academy | 68c | 354$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a43…44cdbacked HEROIC Academy | 68c | 310$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed FC Famalicão Esports | 9c | 286.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FC Famalicão Esports | 31c | 237.88$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FC Famalicão Esports | 31c | 232.23$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.31 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked HEROIC Academy | 69c | 206$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.86 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 9c | 149.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbc…a37bbacked HEROIC Academy | 70c | 142.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed HEROIC Academy | 69c | 122$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked HEROIC Academy | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed HEROIC Academy | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed HEROIC Academy | 73c | 23.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0d…9115backed HEROIC Academy | 70c | 21.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…8a3cbacked HEROIC Academy | 71c | 21.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed HEROIC Academy | 73c | 19.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1a…650dbacked HEROIC Academy | 70c | 16.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6068…1dacbacked HEROIC Academy | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #18 Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs FC Famalicão Esports - Map 2 WinnerHEROIC Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.