CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: OlyBet SB vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4861ee11e3d2c278493916faa0ed95708a606a6c2379b11609ab98b57962574
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ursaof OlyBet SB, Ursa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,952 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed OlyBet SB | 1c | 3,760$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Ursa | 78c | 1,266$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.16 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed OlyBet SB | 22c | 1,137$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.4 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…f57abacked OlyBet SB | 20c | 667$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed OlyBet SB | 8c | 627.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 1,594 | 29.7%473 W · 1,121 L | -88.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked OlyBet SB | 32c | 560.26$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.11 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe927…d9c7backed OlyBet SB | 20c | 545$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f0…4c7fbacked OlyBet SB | 20c | 515$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed OlyBet SB | 4c | 510.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90d5…103fbacked OlyBet SB | 20c | 510$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…0efcbacked OlyBet SB | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…ef63backed Ursa | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.2 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…ad94backed Ursa | 66c | 454.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.18 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…4382backed OlyBet SB | 20c | 429$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…c05bbacked Ursa | 80c | 417$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed OlyBet SB | 8c | 403$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Ursa | 69c | 314.21$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.81 | 853 | 58.3%497 W · 356 L | +60.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…a978backed Ursa | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…fff0backed Ursa | 80c | 290$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed OlyBet SB | 32c | 283.28$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.74 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed OlyBet SB | 31c | 278.77$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.46 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fb…548fbacked Ursa | 80c | 270$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed Ursa | 61c | 260.66$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.66 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942a…c9c2backed Ursa | 80c | 260$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7207…ac36backed Ursa | 80c | 255$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x411e…56b9backed Ursa | 80c | 255$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf4…36c3backed Ursa | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x693e…13f8backed Ursa | 80c | 240$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e8…1361backed OlyBet SB | 20c | 229$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe700…82e9backed OlyBet SB | 13c | 221.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Ursa | 59c | 205$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.09 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb3…6bfebacked Ursa | 69c | 189.12$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…e141backed Ursa | 78c | 185.57$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x002e…af86backed OlyBet SB | 9c | 163.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa8…6b04backed Ursa | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed OlyBet SB | 39c | 139.83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed OlyBet SB | 18c | 133.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Ursa | 73c | 133.61$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 652 | 54.3%354 W · 298 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2f…c1e4backed Ursa | 80c | 129$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed OlyBet SB | 19c | 118$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…dd06backed OlyBet SB | 22c | 104.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…b0debacked Ursa | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Ursa | 69c | 85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked OlyBet SB | 34c | 80.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…9b3abacked Ursa | 80c | 79$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Ursa | 74c | 70.27$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 601 | 43.1%259 W · 342 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed Ursa | 72c | 60.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed OlyBet SB | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed OlyBet SB | 18c | 57.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked Ursa | 65c | 50.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed OlyBet SB | 25c | 48.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed OlyBet SB | 29c | 45.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Ursa | 60c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…20e3backed Ursa | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked OlyBet SB | 38c | 39.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 264 | 54.2%143 W · 121 L | -19.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked OlyBet SB | 42c | 39.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f5…5ef2backed Ursa | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed OlyBet SB | 40c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ef…0cf9backed Ursa | 70c | 28.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Ursa | 70c | 16.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: OlyBet SB vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: OlyBet SB vs Ursa - Map 2 WinnerUrsa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.