CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: OlyBet SB vs Ursa - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc7b8cf7799d2fb193e505db415bd49842a8e4fc7bfd6d60c18e20123339709d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ursaof OlyBet SB, Ursa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,195 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ursa | 68c | 865.76$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.36 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked OlyBet SB | 32c | 699.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked OlyBet SB | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…fcfebacked Ursa | 80c | 259.45$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 149 | 71.8%107 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked Ursa | 67c | 192.71$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Ursa | 68c | 178.09$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked OlyBet SB | 37c | 109.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed OlyBet SB | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Ursa | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…a3c1backed OlyBet SB | 34c | 73.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…57c9backed OlyBet SB | 32c | 68.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…9476backed OlyBet SB | 32c | 68.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed OlyBet SB | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Ursa | 66c | 58.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked OlyBet SB | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Ursa | 63c | 41.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Ursa | 67c | 38.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: OlyBet SB vs Ursa - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: OlyBet SB vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group StageUrsa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.