TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x002e…af86

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Polina Kudermetovabacked Polina Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$4.57
Madrid: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Toby Samuelbacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$7.66
Monza: Timofey Skatov vs Hugo Gastonbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$4.07
Campinas: Murkel Dellien vs Paulo Dos Santosbacked Murkel Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$4.72
Madrid: Daniel Rincon vs Toby Samuelbacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$6.75
Split: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Alexander Vasilevbacked Eliakim Coulibaly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.66
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+91.8%+$11.79
Miami Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
Miami Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tomas Machacbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+101.5%+$21.91
Miami Open: Linda Noskova vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.08
Zadar: Lukas Neumayer vs Arthur Geabacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
Zadar: Lukas Neumayer vs Nerman Faticbacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$10.18
Asuncion: Conner Huertas Del Pino vs Henrique Rochabacked Conner Huertas Del Pino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+287.2%+$47.79
Morelos: Oliver Crawford vs Alafia Ayenibacked Oliver Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Zadar: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Arthur Geabacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$13.53
All 15 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$3.93
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Tianjin Pioneersbacked Tianjin Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Ningbo Rockets vs. Guangzhou Loong Lionsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$6.37
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Xinjiang Flying Tigersbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.62
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-57.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes (W)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
Maryland Terrapins vs. North Carolina Tar Heels (W)backed North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$10.17
USC Trojans vs. Clemson Tigers (W)backed Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.98
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Georgia Bulldogs (W)backed Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.69
All 4 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-44.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
Sabres vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Jets vs. Penguinsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-37.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NEC vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+28%+$3.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SV Darmstadt 98 vs. Hannover 96 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africabacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.