Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
USC Trojans vs. Clemson Tigers (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5f69ac1e5027f949fbf711d0f629ad3361f704684ca128d0f1293082c6b3007
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- USC Trojansof USC Trojans, Clemson Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,623 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked USC Trojans | 49c | 1,386$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.77 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Clemson Tigers | 49c | 1,323$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.48 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Clemson Tigers | 40c | 751.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.29 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Clemson Tigers | 39c | 685.16$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.82 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Clemson Tigers | 60c | 500.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Clemson Tigers | 41c | 456.96$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.21 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Clemson Tigers | 70c | 180$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.06 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Clemson Tigers | 50c | 156.32$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.42 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac5…2a5ebacked Clemson Tigers | 38c | 132.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed USC Trojans | 49c | 119.47$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.93 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Clemson Tigers | 50c | 115.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed USC Trojans | 56c | 89.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked USC Trojans | 71c | 84.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x100d…1baabacked Clemson Tigers | 35c | 63.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed USC Trojans | 30c | 63.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Clemson Tigers | 46c | 61.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed USC Trojans | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Clemson Tigers | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked USC Trojans | 32c | 52.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed USC Trojans | 24c | 52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed USC Trojans | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Clemson Tigers | 47c | 44.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Clemson Tigers | 30c | 44.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Clemson Tigers | 28c | 41.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed USC Trojans | 61c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…23a0backed Clemson Tigers | 52c | 40.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Clemson Tigers | 56c | 40.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x002e…af86backed Clemson Tigers | 45c | 39.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked USC Trojans | 40c | 32.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fc…7cc1backed USC Trojans | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed Clemson Tigers | 52c | 24.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Clemson Tigers | 73c | 18.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.