MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56d02fa53bc5ac81a6bdff99bc441da4c83b42a87535ab41a50c3ac2e27f7acd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Miami Marlins, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $787,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $979,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $787,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Miami Marlins | 32c | 153,964$49,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,778.98 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Yankees | 68c | 34,127$23,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,168.15 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…1519backed New York Yankees | 73c | 29,809$21,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,760.67 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked New York Yankees | 62c | 27,194$16,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,983.52 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Miami Marlins | 28c | 21,384$5,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,396.75 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed New York Yankees | 8c | 20,726$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.8 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27c…3e53backed Miami Marlins | 22c | 19,066$4,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,822.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees | 36c | 17,710$6,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,335.08 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked New York Yankees | 68c | 17,655$12,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,010.83 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Miami Marlins | 27c | 15,026$4,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,968.91 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 30c | 14,438$4,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,044.5 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed New York Yankees | 73c | 11,860$8,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,657.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 11,829$3,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,634.86 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 54c | 11,309$6,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,082.28 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 79c | 9,641$7,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,645.43 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed New York Yankees | 52c | 8,079$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,180.47 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked New York Yankees | 73c | 7,430$5,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,410.3 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed New York Yankees | 57c | 6,573$3,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,736.84 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 5,811$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,413.06 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 29c | 5,550$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,961.35 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed New York Yankees | 17c | 5,348$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.85 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked New York Yankees | 72c | 4,984$3,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,588.57 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed Miami Marlins | 33c | 4,969$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,326.84 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Miami Marlins | 30c | 4,644$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248.54 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Miami Marlins | 27c | 4,608$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,363.75 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f2…d4a9backed New York Yankees | 73c | 4,306$3,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,143.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Yankees | 73c | 4,065$2,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,947.25 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Miami Marlins | 34c | 3,900$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.02 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Miami Marlins | 28c | 3,773$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716.58 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 3,661$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,672.6 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked New York Yankees | 73c | 3,501$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543.81 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Miami Marlins | 14c | 3,311$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860.53 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked New York Yankees | 9c | 3,296$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.54 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed New York Yankees | 73c | 3,234$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees | 36c | 3,099$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.97 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Miami Marlins | 29c | 2,872$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.37 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Miami Marlins | 27c | 2,555$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.14 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Miami Marlins | 17c | 2,500$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.94 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked New York Yankees | 67c | 2,108$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.7 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed New York Yankees | 73c | 2,069$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.99 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Miami Marlins | 27c | 2,042$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 2,040$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.2 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked New York Yankees | 72c | 2,025$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed New York Yankees | 4c | 2,024$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.97 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 1,897$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.22 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed New York Yankees | 10c | 1,888$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.49 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 1,750$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.5 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Miami Marlins | 29c | 1,511$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.96 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed New York Yankees | 68c | 1,374$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.52 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 1,291$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.5 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked New York Yankees | 15c | 1,273$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.07 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed New York Yankees | 72c | 1,114$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.86 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed New York Yankees | 75c | 1,051$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4595…df87backed New York Yankees | 71c | 1,000$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba04…310bbacked Miami Marlins | 13c | 999.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed New York Yankees | 66c | 990.28$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.9 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed New York Yankees | 7c | 976.24$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked New York Yankees | 78c | 868.91$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.89 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed New York Yankees | 68c | 839.13$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.59 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked New York Yankees | 72c | 831.35$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.29 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Miami Marlins | 15c | 792.42$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.55 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 788.79$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.74 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed New York Yankees | 79c | 780.71$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.98 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees | 72c | 699.96$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.64 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked New York Yankees | 52c | 623.51$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.8 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 623.38$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.07 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked New York Yankees | 70c | 618.17$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.73 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked New York Yankees | 79c | 613.28$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.51 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed New York Yankees | 65c | 602.46$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.6 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed New York Yankees | 70c | 575.21$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.65 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…9f8fbacked Miami Marlins | 28c | 544.62$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.13 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked New York Yankees | 72c | 539.14$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.07 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Miami Marlins | 23c | 520.33$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.46 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked New York Yankees | 72c | 500.28$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.2 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ab…8c2ebacked New York Yankees | 73c | 499.89$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.92 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked New York Yankees | 29c | 481.78$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.43 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 454$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 434.79$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.66 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…8961backed New York Yankees | 23c | 419.37$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 410.58$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked New York Yankees | 72c | 409.67$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.96 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…2a86backed New York Yankees | 73c | 407$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked New York Yankees | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…ea45backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 400$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Miami Marlins | 28c | 396.12$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.2 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked New York Yankees | 73c | 389.33$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.21 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked New York Yankees | 73c | 383.68$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.09 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 378.78$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.62 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…1e0cbacked New York Yankees | 71c | 371.05$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.81 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked New York Yankees | 74c | 364.49$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.27 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…18c6backed Miami Marlins | 29c | 331.51$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…9a00backed Miami Marlins | 29c | 325.52$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb53…5baabacked Miami Marlins | 30c | 317.55$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba3…6c19backed New York Yankees | 72c | 310.69$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.5wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Miami Marlins | 74c | 307.54$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.08 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 298.24$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.94 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1e…63bbbacked New York Yankees | 73c | 295.14$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae9…5b36backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 286.92$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.56 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x121f…4765backed Miami Marlins | 21c | 283.68$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +162%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.