MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9a3006a20784d58399e76d3d302758a5356d5d0b77e104c7d102766a0c1da45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof New York Yankees, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $224,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 98,806$43,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,331.54 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 59,960$25,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,176.96 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed New York Yankees | 56c | 52,102$29,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,176.84 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed New York Yankees | 57c | 34,204$19,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,496.19 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed New York Yankees | 56c | 23,145$12,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,959.01 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked New York Yankees | 56c | 19,052$10,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,661.94 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 12,083$5,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,813.57 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Yankees | 57c | 11,073$6,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,310.45 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 7,590$3,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250.63 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…476cbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 5,127$2,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,922.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 3,975$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.91 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked New York Yankees | 55c | 3,868$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,127.22 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Yankees | 59c | 3,615$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.18 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked New York Yankees | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.99 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 2,632$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.22 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 2,200$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 2,121$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.36 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,863$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.28 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed New York Yankees | 55c | 1,786$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.3 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 1,447$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.19 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…672abacked New York Yankees | 54c | 1,430$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.41 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 1,376$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.96 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 1,294$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.94 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 1,289$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.13 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 47c | 1,237$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.56 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked New York Yankees | 57c | 1,182$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.69 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed New York Yankees | 57c | 1,111$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.23 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 1,106$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.56 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 1,098$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.98 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed New York Yankees | 56c | 981.48$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.63 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…a66dbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 970.78$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 954.63$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.5 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed New York Yankees | 56c | 869.29$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.8 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e2…42d9backed New York Yankees | 57c | 854.56$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 781.73$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.59 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed New York Yankees | 57c | 728.99$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.52 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…66bbbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 692.19$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.55 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked New York Yankees | 55c | 672.25$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.74 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad8…8a2cbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 630.89$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.3 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 603.83$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.21 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 580.2$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.11 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked New York Yankees | 56c | 578.94$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.21 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 554.55$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.61 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 552.13$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.38 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked New York Yankees | 56c | 535.48$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.87 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a7…3bb2backed New York Yankees | 56c | 518.8$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.14 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 499.99$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.5 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed New York Yankees | 57c | 427.28$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.55 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked New York Yankees | 56c | 394.79$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.09 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…c74dbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 384.22$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.17 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed New York Yankees | 47c | 357.14$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.66 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed New York Yankees | 47c | 353.44$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.71 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 350$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed New York Yankees | 57c | 345.42$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.89 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed New York Yankees | 47c | 345.1$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.01 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…bad3backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 341.93$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.06 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked New York Yankees | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.96 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ab…8c2ebacked New York Yankees | 59c | 332.64$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.04 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed New York Yankees | 57c | 331.84$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.1 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed New York Yankees | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked New York Yankees | 50c | 271.26$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.63 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…d614backed New York Yankees | 51c | 262.46$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked New York Yankees | 56c | 260.79$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.04 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 33c | 253.42$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.22 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed New York Yankees | 49c | 250.61$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 236.43$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.55 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed New York Yankees | 56c | 236.39$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.53 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 232$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaed…5749backed New York Yankees | 57c | 231.05$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.7 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed New York Yankees | 56c | 224.34$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.72 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…68fbbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 222.19$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.65 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed New York Yankees | 53c | 220.03$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.62 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed New York Yankees | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…6a33backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 193.71$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.85 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed New York Yankees | 48c | 189.35$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.81 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed New York Yankees | 52c | 184.53$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.95 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked New York Yankees | 57c | 178.28$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.62 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 178.28$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.62 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…dd65backed New York Yankees | 57c | 178.28$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.62 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked New York Yankees | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…28d6backed New York Yankees | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 197 | 54.8%108 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed New York Yankees | 56c | 172.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.37 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdce…f9e2backed New York Yankees | 54c | 172.4$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed New York Yankees | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked New York Yankees | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked New York Yankees | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79f1…178abacked New York Yankees | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…cb10backed New York Yankees | 55c | 165$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed New York Yankees | 57c | 162.81$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…4fd0backed New York Yankees | 56c | 156.47$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.62 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 137.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked New York Yankees | 57c | 136.39$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 130.39$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.02 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 124.41$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.67 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed New York Yankees | 55c | 123.84$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked New York Yankees | 55c | 123.84$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca5…85edbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 121.7$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- Miami Marlins vs. New York YankeesMiami Marlins won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.