TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfaf3…1e0c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: MLB, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.84
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$15.37
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.89
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.49
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.81
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$105.03
Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$74.09
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$74.37
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$47.2
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.76
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$96.55
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$30.53
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$21.67
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$19.24
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$46.17
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.42
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.31
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.39
Blackhawks vs. Sharksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.65
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Bruins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Panthers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Wild vs. Red Wingsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.17
Blackhawks vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Maple Leafs vs. Kingsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Canadiens vs. Devilsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$31
Islanders vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$29.46
Panthers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.06
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$52.1
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$50.77
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick28cpaid-87.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.25
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.35
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.53
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.1
Bucks vs. Pistonsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.12
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.52
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.28
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Timberwolves vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.02
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$59.27
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.94
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$113
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.